Attack on Iraq rejected by 2 in 3 voters.

Telegraph. 12 August 2002

 

LONDON -- Tony Blair and Labour will suffer a potentially catastrophic loss of support if Britain joins American military action against Iraq, a poll commissioned by The Telegraph says today.

 

More than two-thirds of British voters believe that a potential attack on Saddam Hussein is not justified in present circumstances, according to the internet pollster YouGov.

 

The survey shows that Labour voters would reconsider their support for the Government if Mr Blair sent troops into action against Iraq.

 

It found widespread unease about President George Bush's ability to handle the crisis. More than half feared that Mr Blair was becoming Mr Bush's "poodle."

 

The YouGov findings seem to confirm private surveys carried out for Mr Blair -- and denied by No 10 -- suggesting that he would have to pay a heavy price at the ballot box if he took Britain into war.

 

More than a third of Labour supporters lack confidence in Mr Blair's ability to handle the crisis and say they would lose sympathy with the Government if America launched a military strike against Saddam with British support.

 

The findings coincide with a warning from Maurice Fitzpatrick, the head of economics at Tenon, the professional services group, that the consequences of military action could dent the prospects for economic growth.

 

He said: "If growth over the next four years were to be less than the Chancellor's forecast by just half of one per cent because of a war, the impact would leave a £12 billion black hole in the annual accounts by 2006. This worry must be pressing in on Gordon Brown."

 

Sixty-two per cent of respondents thought that military action could result in a wider war in the Middle East and 90 per cent feared Islamic terrorist retaliation against the West.

 

A majority of Britons do not trust President Bush's judgment, the survey shows. Two-thirds of those interviewed said they had "not much confidence" (40 per cent) or "no confidence at all" (28 per cent) in Mr Bush's capacity to handle the crisis wisely.

 

Menzies Campbell, the Liberal Democrat foreign affairs spokesman, said: "A prime minister who goes to war without the knowledge that he has the security of public opinion behind him is taking a very substantial risk."

 

 

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