Iraq war could engulf region, Britain warns US.

Independent. 9 August 2002.

LONDON -- Britain has strongly advised the United States against attacking Iraq, warning that it risked intensifying the conflicts in Afghanistan, Israel and Kashmir, senior defence and diplomatic sources say.

In a sign of deepening discord between the two allies, British ministers and officials in Whitehall believe that a new war would "contaminate" the other crises."These are issues the Americans appear not to have considered," said one official.

They also have grave reservations about President George Bush's demand for a "regime change" in Baghdad because, London believes, no alternative regime has been identified for such a change to take place. Britain may be lumbered with leading a massive stabilisation force for "up to five years" in an anarchic post-war Iraq, with the prospect of the country being partitioned.

While Britain is certain that Saddam Hussein has acquired some form of chemical and biological weapons capacity since the United Nations weapons inspectors were expelled from Iraq, ministers have seen no evidence that he can use them in any meaningful way against the West.

America has countered the British worries by maintaining that each conflict in the region can be contained and that it is impractical to wait for every issue to be resolved before taking action against President Saddam, according to the officials.

But while the reservations of Britain, perceived as America's staunchest ally in its "war on terrorism," have prompted some soul-searching among the Pentagon hawks, they have struck a chord at the State Department, where Colin Powell, the Secretary of State, is known to be more cautious about attacking Iraq.

Britain's misgivings emerged yesterday as President Saddam appeared on television to speak out against an invasion. The Iraqi leader's rare public appearance in a grey suit rather than a military uniform, and at a desk spread with white lilies, was calculated to rally international opinion against an American-led assault.

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