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Mar 7 2001 
In the course of living, I found out that thinking itself needed review, since I didn't know how I was thinking - I had only various systems in place, but no understanding of how I was thinking what I was thinking. 

There are apparently three parts to thinking -

a) Observation
b) Speculation
c) Analysis
Most systems mainly have gone into analysis mainly and only touched on the other two. 

However, all three are present in thinking. You can start at any point and go to any other point in any sequence. They each contribute to the other two. An analysis is missing something, so you go to observe. Seeing a scene in a plant gives a lot of data, which has to be analyzed before anything constructive can be started with it. A dream of a school child is obtainable if he looks around and sees what help he can get in working to accomplish this, plus if he then sits down and analyzed what is needed and works out a plan to actually now go out and achieve it. But if this student gives up on his dream, then the whole shooting match goes up in smoke.

You can start with any of these and people start different projects differently. A new project might start with Speculation. An existing project might start with Analysis or Observation. Observation, particularly of a completely different discipline, brings in a different view of things and so things can be thought through differently. Many breakthroughs come to this.

Observation would be a highly disciplined step. Analysis and Speculation will run right on the heels of it, but must be kept separate. Scientific Method makes this clear - as one of the methods that uses all three, but is heavy on only two out of the three. And this has been, to a greater or lesser degree, the stable method to use in most research.

Observation is simply observing what is there. Integrity must be kept in on this point. The other two parts can be incremented in on this, coming up with more scrutinizing observation based on a "thumbnail analysis" coming from existing data and speculating a possible outcome. But you don't want to speculate or imagine what you see or hear. And analysis at a desk doesn't get one out of actually going out and looking. So when you observe, actually observe what is there in front of you, not whether this proves your analysis or is just what you imagined it would be.

But you can imagine, then observe then analyze - or you can analyze some area, go observe some more data then speculate what you could do to improve an area - or you could observe some production line or area, imagine how it could be better and analyze what would have to be handled to achieve that dream or improved reality.

Analysis falls under various means. Sorting just the common methods of analysis originally still left something missing - which filled in when finding the other two equivalent steps. There are many systems and methods for doing analysis.

Scientology's Data Series is heavy on analysis and is successful in its own right, due to the speed with which a person can quickly sort through piles of data and come up with a correct handling.

Similarly, Scientific Method depends majorily on correctly executed experiments, well written up so that anyone can duplicate the results. It covers all three points, but light on speculation after one develops his hypothesis.

I worked this area over myself from a common sense viewpoint and found some general guides that can be used. 

It goes that any analysis will result in a series of steps that must be implemented. However, one just does these steps, not having to think particularly about whether they are right or not. An analysis might come up with other steps that have to be thought through before something else can happen (Figure out if this is possible... or, Find out if these supplies exist or where we can get them from...)

So none of these steps is in any way final, but each are a work-in-progress. Execution of the resulting plan will mean

Speculation is composed of imagination, fantasy, science fiction and any of the "what ifs" which can be found. This is valuable beyond belief and is what has driven most of the major expansions of our history, both ancient and modern. A person has a view and then works to get them figured out and implemented. In the Scientology Data Series, this is touched on as simply setting up the scene that you want to achieve and then working backwards to find out what is stopping this being achieved, then doing analyzing from that point.

But the important point is to realize that this step has a vital need in society today and the dreamers amongst us, the writers, the artists are the makers of a new future. Given the tools of analysis and observation of what is existing, one can take almost any of these dreams and make it a reality.

My discovery on this is to isolate the three points or areas of thinking. From this we can workout how to improve any scene by including each part in thinking out any situation or problem. 

The use of these points is to do more of any of the other two to improve the effectiveness of the one you have attention on.

Examples:

Doing an analysis of a manufacturing scene will show up with certain facts in the office or in the flow of data available to you. Getting out of the office and walking the assembly lines personally, talking to the workers and supervisors will give you more data. Actually timing the lines and looking the scene over from a time-motion study, will give still more observed data for use in analysis. Now, going back to the desk, putting all this aside and "just supposing we did this..." (speculation based on observed and analyzed data) will come up with something that now can be analyzed for fault or workability. If the proposed plan needs further observation to see if it can be factually implemented, then there you go - off into the factory to measure and layout and see if it will work. Paper and pencil and eraser for flowcharts and workouts would be part of the speculation-observation-analysis route.

Another example: an artist wants to try out a comic book - perhaps doing it on the web. So he already has data of people who have the talent for doing the parts he needs: an illustrator, a writer, a web designer and himself, the producer. He has the idea for the web-comic (speculation). Now he talks to these guys (observation) and gets more data. From this he finds that there is substantial data on how to do this (analysis by each of these specialists), but before he can work out a program for doing this in all its steps, he has to himself surf the web to find similar sites so that he can decide what he wants to do (observation resulting in more speculation). Once he has the specifics, he can then sit down to do the analysis which results in a plan or series of steps to take to achieve the goal or product that he wants. Then he can send copies of this plan to all concerned and get them to do their steps in it.

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So this analysis of thinking covers a broad range of areas and looks to contribute to existing methods as well.

I hope that your thinking might improve with this.

As always, let me know what you think. There is certainly room for more development along this line.

Robert C. Worstell.

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