1999 Archive
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EXPLAINING THE NATIONAL DEBT FOR THE FISCALLY CHALLENGED

March 14, 1999

Something very strange is happening to me or maybe all that gingko biloba I've been taking is finally kicking in. All I know is that I can finally understand the difference between the budget surplus and the national debt. Not only can I understand it but I'm getting concerned that the American people are about to be swindled.

If you're an accountant or an economic whiz kid then you've had no problem with the razzle dazzle figures being thrown about by the administration and certain members of Congress. I confess that my eyes have always glazed over whenever the word budget is mentioned and I've tended to switch off C-span whenever the discussion is about fiscal issues. Recently, however, I've had some sort of epiphany and the simple mind trick of transferring the image of our government into an average Joe has made things much clearer.

Whenever I heard my brilliant husband Vernon try to explain the trillion-dollar national debt I completely tuned him out. Somehow his explanations has sunk in and now I can understand what the big deal is all about and I'd like to explain it to all my similarly perplexed readers in the simplest possible terms. I know you're out there because everyone I personally questioned about the budget was as confused as I had been about this issue.

Imagine that the average Joe clears $2000 a month but his family expenses amount to $4000. Since Joe has good credit, he uses his credit card to make up the difference but Joe's budget is operating on a monthly deficit of $2000. This goes on for years and his debt grows and grows. Then one day, Joe gets a huge promotion and now earns $6000 a month. He now has a monthly budget surplus of $2000 a month but his total credit card debt has risen to $50,000 with an interest rate of 20%. What do you think is the wisest thing for Joe to do? The obvious answer is to pay down his credit card bills and get out of debt while he still has a good job.

Our government has operated at a deficit for many years and instead of using credit cards, the government has been issuing bonds, T-bills and borrowing from the Social Security trust fund to meet its budget and has amassed a trillion-dollar debt. Now thanks in part to a booming economy which has increased revenue, the government has a budget surplus but the national debt is still growing at an alarming rate. You'd never know it by the way the administration is throwing out plans for 75 new programs to spend this ``surplus''.

I hope your eyes haven't glazed over with boredom because it's very important for the voter to understand what's going on in Congress. There technically is no surplus. There can't be when we're in so much debt. As of March 8, 1999 the national debt was over 5 trillion, 623 billion plus dollars. Every citizen's share is about $21,000. The national debt is growing at the rate of about 275 million daily. So why is the Congressional majority asking for tax cuts? Are they insane? Actually, it's not such a crazy idea.

Imagine again the average Joe. He can use all of his $2000 monthly surplus to pay down his debt but if his debt were as huge as our government's it wouldn't make much of a dent. If however, he takes a portion of the surplus and invests it to grow his income he might eventually eliminate the debt.

Tax cuts, believe it or not, can be an investment for the government. These cuts stimulate the economy and end up generating more revenue for the treasury. Putting the money back in the pockets of the taxpayer increases their spending which increases jobs and ultimately produces new taxpayers and revenue. Economists may disagree but voodoo economics actually can work.

On the other hand, spending the surplus on new programs would be the equivalent of Joe spending his surplus on more and more goods and ignoring his bills. The president's state of the union address was typical political posturing. Pump up the volume with buzzwords like ``saving Social Security and Medicare'' and you've got the audience in your pocket. Then let's spice it up by promising government money to establish universal savings accounts for every American. Yes, you heard right. Let's take the taxpayers' money and give it to every American, including those that do not pay taxes.

Clinton has also proposed taking over 60% of the ``surplus'' to protect Social Security by investing a portion of it in the Stock Market. Yipes!!! Isn't that a scary thought? The United States government investing billions of our money and ultimately influencing the Market. I'd also like to know exactly what precautions have been taken to insure investments if there is a run on T-bills caused by a Y2K panic?

In midtown Manhattan, there is a huge digital clock that keeps track of our National Debt. The figures spin by with lightening speed as the numbers climb higher and higher every second. It has stopped only once. In 1995, the government shut down for 27 days and couldn't spend our money so the numbers were blissfully frozen.

I know I've oversimplified a very complex problem but we need to move away from the juicy scandals and pay attention to what's happening with our money. I think everybody has had enough of parsing words and stretching the truth. I solemnly swear that the next time a politician mentions the word surplus I will pay closer attention and hold on to my wallet.


Copyright (c) Alicia Colon 2005