Copyright © 1995 Eileen M. Smith, M.Arch. - All Rights Reserved.
Civilization has embraced a highly refined essence of culture for well over 2,000 years.
Commerce and quality of life have danced in a delicate and at times bold interplay
throughout the evolution of humankind. Yet, never so precariously as it does, today.
The earth with its abundant blessings and resources sway on a pendulum in orbit
between the drive for survival and the corruptibility of commerce. Decisions regarding
global resources are now -more than ever -entertwined with the very essence of global
survival. We must put responsible energy products in reach and within budget, today.
Sound market deployment of building-integrated photovoltaics are focused within core
industrialized nations where the technology and related systems may be proven on a
broad scale with closely monitored installations primarily self-financed with Solar Bond
incentives. The 100 Headrick Solar-Voltaic Dome™ Power Stations By 2000 Program
advances a unique mid-size 21,000 SF solar array to increase peak output on an acre
four times (60 kWp to 260kWp) with 34,000 SF leasable.
Formal ceremonial signing of this commitment by leaders of the United States, the
European Commission and Japan is an important step to encourage commercial real
estate industries of these nations advance this program to assure photovoltaics timely
achieves its rightful position as a viable World Trade Commodity of the 21st Century.
KEYWORDS
Strategic Market Deployment of Building-Integrated Photovoltaics; Packing Density;
Headrick Solar-Voltaic Dome™ Power Station; Economics of Energy Resources
CASE FOR LARGE-SCALE DEPLOYMENT OF BUILDING-INTEGRATED PV
Due to low production and use world-wide building-integrated photovolaics share a
reputation with remote site PV of being considered an expensive form of renewable
energy. There is a tendency in economic evaluations to insist photovoltaics adhere to
economic formulas based on remote site formats characteristic of coal, nuclear, hydro,
Sustainable Energy Strategy: Clean & Secure Energy
for a Competitive Economy; United States Energy Policy Plan 1995
US Primary Energy Used for Electricity Consumption 1975 & 1994
COAL | NATURAL GAS | PETROLEUM | NUCLEAR | HYDRO | OTHER |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Figure 1 Photovoltaics is one line in other category of 0.6% US Electricity Consumption 1994
natural gas and petroleum energy resources. It is unnatural and unrealistic to focus
economic formulas for photovoltaic deployment on remote site production because the
primary benefits of building-integrated photovoltaics producing electricity from sunlight
on location are unique. Solar energy through photovoltaics creates a unique structure
of production, deployment management and economics. A program of incentives
focused on restoration of existing buildings, new construction and large-scale
deployment of building-intergrated photovoltaics will produce attractive proformas for
local and state commercial real estate developments.
Production Level Must Be Emphasized In Energy Source Cost Comparisons
We strongly discourage continued cost evaluations comparing photovoltaic with fossil
fuels and nuclear energy unless they include clear delineation of the market production
levels represented by those comparative costs. Clarification of the cost/productioon ratio
will help to consolidate fragmented efforts of small-scale cost reduction schemes that
could more efficiently be integrated within strategic large-scale mainstream deployment
programs naturally increasing the production level of PV, and thereby significantly
reducing costs across a broad-scale marketplace. An energy pie chart in Primary
Energy Used for Electricity Generation 1975 and 1994 United States National Energy
Policy Plan, July 1995; Sustainable Energy Strategy -Clean and Secure Energy for a
Competitive Economy clearly illustrates the extreme disproportion of production
levels between photovoltaics and coal. (See Figure 1 - Similar to graph shown in 3D)
The pie chart indicates the other category constitutes only 0.6% of the entire
energy marketplace of the United States. PV represents only one small line in the other
category. Coal dominates with the highest production level representing 55%
of the present United States energy pie. The other category was 0.5% in 1975.
It has only grown 0.1% in twenty years, while coal consumption for electricity generation in
the US has nearly doubled in the past twenty years. Even proponents for photovoltaics
continue to falsely emphasize photovoltaics as an expensive commodity compared to depletable
energy sources such as coal, natural gas, nuclear and hydro energy. Consumers often do not
understand the dynamics of energy economics. PV has reduced from $500 watt in 1974 to $5 watt in 1990.
Often the price quoted for coal and nuclear production do not include known and significant externality
expenses paid for by citizen taxes or increased utility rates for government funded clean-up, hazardous
radioactive waste storage fees, decommission of nuclear plants or when coal plant damage the atmosphere.
The threat of global warming due to depletion of the ozone layer has only been a measurable problem since 1979.
In 1995, Professor Roland and an associate at the University of California in Irvine were awarded the
Nobel Science Prize in Chemistry and Physics for identifying the substance of the ozone layer finally establishing
significant proof of the seriousness of the changes in the ozone layer. Photovoltaics is the least expensive,
cleanest, most flexible, sustainable and easy to maintain energy technology in existence, today.
STRATEGIC MARKETING PLAN FOR BUILDING-INTEGRATED PHOTOVOLTAICS (BI-PV)
1996 | 2000 | 2005 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2050 | 2075 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15˘kWh | 8˘kWh | 0˘kWh | 5kWh1˘ | 10kWh1˘ | 15kWh1˘ | 20kWh1˘ | 30kWh1˘ |
Figure 2 Market Incentives: Advent of the Headrick Solar-Voltaic Dome™ Power Station
Solar Bonds enhance pay-pack strategy for six-year real estate proformas
30-Year Bonds Start PV at $5 Watt Peak (Wp) - Mature 2030 at Around 15 Wp $1
NOTE: Read through BI-PV PEP USA for more information and the
Advent of the Headrick Solar-Voltaic Dome(TM) Power Station to find a figure of the graph.
Deploy PV Through Commercial Real Estate Industry of Industrialized Nations
Historically, third World Nations rely on large scale deployment of energy technologies
embraced on a mass level in industrialized nations. (Wu Naito; Energy Sector Seeks
More Foreign Cooperation, Beijing Review, April 1994). Coal, nuclear, hydro, natural
gas and petroleum are widely deployed as primary energy technologies in Third World
Nations because they are well-known through billions of dollars of research and
production. Coal has been a pollution problem since the 1800s. Despite proven
externality hazards and expense, fossil fuels and nuclear energy continue to be deployed
in fresh markets as primary energy resources. From our research, it is clear that a
realistic large-scale market deployment process for building-integrated photovoltaics
must focus on core industrialized nations to timely evolve photovoltaics as a viable World
Trade Commodity of the 21st Century.
The missing incentive for rapid deployment of photovoltaics into the mainstream
marketplace is attributed to the lack of a defined, affordable and significant market to
accelerate mass production and use of PV electricity within industrialized nations.
Decision-making analysis reveals a significant potential market for building-integrated
photovoltaics within the commercial real estate industry of the United States, Europe
and Japan that is virtually untapped. (Baumann, et al.1995) Solar Bonds provide
real estate development and PV market push incentives to bridge the gap for up front
production costs during market deployment of building-integrated photovoltaics. (See
Figure 2) February, 1996 Washington Post article, Whoąs Afraid of Global Warming?,
indicated -global insurance and banking industries have come to realize CO2
emissions put at risk literally trillions of dollars worth of insured property and long-
term investment. Government, utilities and/or insurance companies could guarantee
the Solar Bonds for these projects. By 2050, utilities will be transformed from
energy producers to grid mangers as 50% of the energy mix is produced by building-integrated
PV arrays. The 1000 PV Roofs Program in the German States established precedence
for large-scale PV deployment installing over 6 MWp PV power. The Program proposed herein
provides installation of over 26 MWp in three nations focused on one solar configuration demanding
630,000 meter squared of PV surface by 2000 world-wide.
100 HEADRICK SOLAR-VOLTAIC DOME(tm) POWER STATIONS BY 2000 PROGRAM