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| Problem
8.20 Statistical Inference |
August
26, 2002 |
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Question:
Problem 8.20: A
recent survey showed that small businesses
with annual revenues of less than $ 1,000,000 expend, on the average,
approximately $ 158,000 per year on advertising. You are interested
in determining whether this figure holds for a small businesses
in you region of the country. You conduct a survey of a random sample
of 22 companies in your region that have annual revenues of less
than $ 1,000,000 and ask company officials to report their annual
advertising revenues. The results of the study are a sample average
advertising, expenditure of $ 140,000 with a standard deviation
of $39,000. Use this sample information to establish a 98% confidence
interval for the population mean expenditure. Assume annual advertising
expenditures are normally distributed. Now go back and examine the
$ 158,000 figure that was reported nationally. Is this figure in
your confidence interval? What does that tell you about your region
in comparison with the nation?
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A.:
Given:
n = 22
mean = 140,000
s = 39,000
98% confidence level = .02%
.02 / 2 = .01%
P
= .5000 - .01 = .490
* The 98% level of confidence results in = .01 in each tail of the
distribution.
The table t value is: ta/2, n-1 = t.01,21 = 2.518

Solution
/ Formula:
98% Confidence Interval:

119,063 <= m <= 160,937
98% confident that the mean is in an interval
between 119,063 and 160,936.
The $ 158,000 mean average is within the confidence interval. This
means that our region is at par with the nation in terms of annual
advertising expense.
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