Getting to Know the Numbers

1. Profits Behind the Numbers
2. Guide to Company Reports
3. Choosing A Stock

Back to Stock Analysis


Choosing A Stock

Note: This is geared toward fundamental analysis. Something analogous could be done for technical analysis. 

This is the procedure we follow when we are considering the purchase or sale of a stock. While holding, we just monitor the news and investigate earnings reports and surprises, and make sure that the reason for buying is still valid. 

Since no one has the time to research the entire universe of stocks, it makes sense to use screening to narrow the field down to a few dozen that you will pay closer attention to. If you can research one or two stocks a week, you should be able to put together a good knowledge base (including a few worth buying) in a couple months. 

To maximize the value you get out of your research time, it's good to decide what you're looking for before you begin.What questions are you trying to answer, and what information will you need in order to answer those questions? Basically this means thinking about what your analysis will involve before you start your research.

What's a particular stock worth? Everyone has a different answer. Here's InvestorGuide's answer: A stock is worth the value of all its future dividends, discounted by the interest rate. This is why earnings are so important - the assumption is that earnings eventuallly become dividends. All the research and analysis is designed to help calculate this value. 

Although everyone does their research differently, here are a few things you might want to look into.

Annual reports:

Other important considerations: This list is not comprehensive, but should give you a good start. MarketGuide has some more thoughts on stock selection.) Note that the list focuses on the company's long term prospects. If you think you spot a stock which is temporarily undervalued, one which you expect to hold for just 6 or 12 months, you would probably want to ask a different set of questions.

If you are seriously considering a purchase, you should also research that company's competitors. Follow the same basic research strategy, only in less detail (unless you have the time to do an equally thorough job). You may decide to buy a competitor instead.

Once you've gathered the facts, you should then perform the .

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