Stock Investment |
As with any investment, a Fool should know very well what he
or she is getting into before mailing in even one red cent. With DRP
investing, you're setting up a long-term relationship with your
investments, perhaps even more so than when using a traditional broker.
You're beginning to invest slowly, steadily, and it will be several years
-- most likely -- until you have a substantial position in your companies.
If you begin to invest in the wrong companies using this method, you lose
valuable time and you also lose the powers of dollar cost averaging into a
great company over the years. Dollar cost averaging into a stock that is
going nowhere (or only down) isn't helpful or Foolish, and it both
hurts your pocket book and dismantles the advantages offered by
Father Time -- the advantages offered if you find a successful stock from
the beginning with which to begin a relationship.
1. Sustainable Market-Beating Earnings and Sales Growth Rates.
You want to invest in leading companies that have historically grown
earnings and sales (both top-line and bottom-line numbers) at
market-beating paces. You want this growth to be sustainable going
forward. Check out the expected growth rates of your companies. See how
they've done in the past. Johnson & Johnson has had 64 years of
consecutive sales growth. Pfizer has had 34 years of the same. Both
companies are poised, here in late 1997, to be market-beating investments
over the coming years, too. They're expected to grow earnings around 15%
annually over the next five years. The market has historically returned
about 10.5% percent annually. Find leading companies that have sales and
earnings growth that is sustainable at levels above 11% annually, ideally
-- and don't forget to include the dividend if it's substantial. In order
to know how sustainable growth is, you need to understand the business,
the markets, and your company, including its strategies. As with any
long-term investment, this will take some research. Be Foolish about it:
enjoy it! Have fun with it. Do as much of it online with others -- in the
Drip
message boards for instance -- as is possible. You're not alone.
2. Respectable and Industry Leading Management. If Johnson &
Johnson didn't attract some of the brightest in its industry, it wouldn't
have had 64 years (and counting) of consecutive sales growth. That's no
small feat. One slip, one bad year (the Tylenol disaster could have hurt
Johnson & Johnson much more than it did, if not for the quick action
taken by management) and the company's record is down the drain. Much more
important than records, though, is that your companies attract and retain
industry leading people. Without the right people, your company can't very
well be the best in the business. Buy companies that have respected
management, that hire the brightest in their industry, and that have
excellent programs in place that pass leadership from one generation of
employees to the next, without missing a beat.
3. Double Digit Net Profit Margins. Along with strong management
comes, hopefully, profits. You probably want to reconsider investing or
"dripping" into any company that hasn't yet made consistent profits.
Instead, the Drip Portfolio aims to invest in companies that have a long
history of profitability, every likelihood of that continuing, and are not
just profitable, but highly profitable. The Drip Port likes
companies that have net profit margins of 10% or higher. This means that
for every dollar in sales, the company keeps 10 cents, even after taxes.
Intel has net profit margins above 20%, as does Coca-Cola. Johnson &
Johnson is around 15%. All are outstanding profit margins. Most companies
never get above 10%. You want to invest in the best. You want to invest in
companies that are highly profitable and becoming more profitable. Which
leads to point four.
4. Ever-improving Business Performance. With a great business,
great management, and profits should hopefully come improving performance
over the years. If a company is a leader, it should be able to lead with
ever-increasing efficiency. You want to invest in companies that have
historically improved their return on equity for shareholders, that
consistently increase operating and profit margins, that build up cash
rather than non-beneficial or non business-building debt, and that have
improved any other measures of the business that you follow. You want to consider companies that are improving over the
years on all measures possible. Coca-Cola has improved net profit margins
from 10% to over 20% in the last 10 years. That's nearly unheard of, and
is simply excellent. Its return on equity to shareholders has also gone
through the roof. Find companies with great management that know how to
get the most value out of every sales dollar, and continually improve upon
that.
5. A History of Dividend Growth, and Every Indication That This Will
Continue. In a long-term dividend reinvestment plan, the dividends
that you are paid but that go to purchase more stock automatically can add
a great amount of value to your total investment. Over the course of a few
decades, the value of your dividends and the value of the shares bought
with dividends can easily surpass in value your initial investment made in
the stock, or your initial few year's worth of investments.
The dividends reinvested from one single share of Coca-Cola stock since
1919 are now worth well over a quarter of a million dollars. One of the
great advantages of dividend reinvestment plans is that each reinvested
dividend payment is much like receiving free stock. Thus, the higher yield
your investment pays in a dividend (as long as the company itself is
growing -- we're leery of buying utility stocks for the 5% yield alone,
because the stock price itself is rarely appreciating) the better chance
you have of building extra value over the years. Also, companies that have
increased dividends every year for decades are an indication of a great
business. Johnson & Johnson's dividend has grown at a compounded
growth rate of 16% annually over the past ten years. The stock has
returned 22% annually since 1986 -- doubling the historic market return.
The dividend growth has helped tremendously. That said, The Drip Port also
invested in Intel, which pays almost no dividend, and which isn't likely
to grow its dividend any substantial amount. Here the portfolio is looking
for stock price appreciation alone. With J&J, it's looking for both
stock apprecation and dividend growth.
Look at consistent dividend growth as a sign of a strong business in
the past, and try to see if that trend will continue going forward.
Management at strong companies try to commit to a policy of increasing
dividends every year, as long as business goes as planned.
6. A Company that is Consistently Repurchasing its own Shares.
Perhaps more important than the act of a company purchasing its own shares
is what this represents. It usually means that the company is generating
cash -- substantial cash -- and that it sees enough value in its own stock
to repurchase it, which in turn decreases the shares outstanding and
increases the earnings per share granted to shareholders. Repurchasing
shares also is usually an indication of a mature business. A company often
repurchases shares when it doesn't believe that it can earn a better
return on its capital through other investments, or expansion. But in the
best companies, both expansion of the business and the repurchasing of
shares with the cash generated through business is possible. A company
that is able to repurchase shares each year is usually operating a
successful, cash generating business, and has confidence in its own stock
and business going forward. The repurchasing of shares also increases the
earnings power of the shares left outstanding.
7. A Strong Balance Sheet. The balance sheet represents a
company's current position of health. This "snapshot" coupled with the
recent annual income statement and growth rate give a powerful picture
into the viability of a business. You want a growing business that is
allowing that growth to add value to the balance sheet, rather than waste
away. You want companies that have more than enough cash to fund future
operations and expansion, and that have little or no debt, unless that
debt is the result of recent aquisitions or expansion that will increase
future earnings power. You want a business that invests its money
Foolishly, that runs its business with a strong but not too constraining
upper-hand, and that has an eye out for opportunity and the resources to
pursue it. Avoid companies that are struggling under a heavy debt load and
that keep investors' hopes up with merely the promise of a big future.
Companies with strong cash positions and that avoid debt -- or only take
it on as a beneficial avenue towards growth -- are far more worth your
consideration than those swimming in debt and hoping to one day develop a
successful market.
8. All of the Above, Alongside with Industry Leadership and
Long-Term Viability. When all of the above or as much of it as
possible is met, you will usually find behind the criteria a leading
company. You want to invest in industry leaders, and you want to invest in
companies that are likely to be leading their industry 10, 20, or 30 years
from now. You want to find all of the attractive criteria above, and
especially industry leadership, and you want all of that to be sustainable
as well as you can possibly tell, and for as long as you can tell. You
also want to invest only in business models and companies that you
understand. If this means that you can only buy consumer friendly
companies such as Coca-Cola and Gillette, than so be it. You'll be joining
Mr. Buffett. If you work for an airline company and live and love
airplanes, consider a technology company like Boeing. (Believe me, they're
a technology company more than anything else.) Do you like NBC? Consider
General Electric, the parent company of NBC. Sure, David Letterman used to
make fun of GE all the time, but it's been a world-leading stock for all
of this century.
Invest in industry leaders that have the strong possibility of
continuing to lead, and invest in what you know and understand. Over the
long run, you'll sleep well, and you'll be Foolishly rewarded -- ten times
over -- if you find market-beating stocks and hold and add to them for
years, and for decades; and then maybe some day you'll pass as least some
of your wealth down to your children. You can't get much more Foolish than
that.
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