Global resources overview
The human race
is living beyond its means. A report backed by 1,360 scientists
from 95 countries - some of them world leaders in their fields -
today warns that the almost two-thirds of the natural machinery
that supports life on Earth is being degraded by human pressure.
The study
contains what its authors call "a stark warning" for the entire
world. The wetlands, forests, savannahs, estuaries, coastal
fisheries and other habitats that recycle air, water and
nutrients for all living creatures are being irretrievably
damaged. In effect, one species is now a hazard to the other 10
million or so on the planet, and to itself.
"Human activity
is putting such a strain on the natural functions of Earth that
the ability of the planet's ecosystems to sustain future
generations can no longer be taken for granted," it says.
The report,
prepared in Washington under the supervision of a board chaired
by Robert Watson, the British-born chief scientist at the World
Bank and a former scientific adviser to the White House, will be
launched today at the Royal Society in London. It warns that:
·
Because of human demand for food, fresh water, timber, fibre and
fuel, more land has been claimed for agriculture in the last 60
years than in the 18th and 19th centuries combined.
· An
estimated 24% of the Earth's land surface is now cultivated.
· Water
withdrawals from lakes and rivers has doubled in the last 40
years. Humans now use between 40% and 50% of all available
freshwater running off the land.
· At
least a quarter of all fish stocks are overharvested. In some
areas, the catch is now less than a hundredth of that before
industrial fishing.
· Since
1980, about 35% of mangroves have been lost, 20% of the world's
coral reefs have been destroyed and another 20% badly degraded.
·
Deforestation and other changes could increase the risks of
malaria and cholera, and open the way for new and so far unknown
disease to emerge.
In 1997, a team
of biologists and economists tried to put a value on the
"business services" provided by nature - the free pollination of
crops, the air conditioning provided by wild plants, the
recycling of nutrients by the oceans. They came up with an
estimate of $33 trillion, almost twice the global gross national
product for that year. But after what today's report, Millennium
Ecosystem Assessment, calls "an unprecedented period of spending
Earth's natural bounty" it was time to check the accounts.
"That is what
this assessment has done, and it is a sobering statement with
much more red than black on the balance sheet," the scientists
warn. "In many cases, it is literally a matter of living on
borrowed time. By using up supplies of fresh groundwater faster
than they can be recharged, for example, we are depleting assets
at the expense of our children."
Flow from
rivers has been reduced dramatically. For parts of the year, the
Yellow River in China, the Nile in Africa and the Colorado in
North America dry up before they reach the ocean. An estimated
90% of the total weight of the ocean's large predators - tuna,
swordfish and sharks - has disappeared in recent years. An
estimated 12% of bird species, 25% of mammals and more than 30%
of all amphibians are threatened with extinction within the next
century. Some of them are threatened by invaders.
The Baltic Sea
is now home to 100 creatures from other parts of the world, a
third of them native to the Great Lakes of America. Conversely,
a third of the 170 alien species in the Great Lakes are
originally from the Baltic.
Invaders can
make dramatic changes: the arrival of the American comb
jellyfish in the Black Sea led to the destruction of 26
commercially important stocks of fish. Global warming and
climate change, could make it increasingly difficult for
surviving species to adapt.
A growing
proportion of the world lives in cities, exploiting advanced
technology. But nature, the scientists warn, is not something to
be enjoyed at the weekend. Conservation of natural spaces is not
just a luxury.
"These are
dangerous illusions that ignore the vast benefits of nature to
the lives of 6 billion people on the planet. We may have
distanced ourselves from nature, but we rely completely on the
services it delivers."
T. Radford, science editor, The (London) Guardian, 30-03-05