The Steps to Success
The Steps to Success
The following is a summary of the chapter, "The Steps To Success" from
"The Disciplined Trader - Developing Winning Attitudes", by Mark Douglas.
One of the best books I've ever read. Its a classic !! Its published by
New York Institute of Finance. The ISBN number is 0-13-215757-8.
As a trader it is more important to know that you will always follow your
rules that it is to make money, because whatever money you make, you will
inevitably lose back to the market if you cant follow your rules!
You need to understand that your rules will changes as your understanding
and insight evolves.
Step I : Staying Focused On What You Need To Learn
"What do I need to learn or how will I have to adapt myself to interact
more successfully with the market ?"
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Stay focused on mastering the steps to achieve your goal and not the end
result, knowing that end result, i.e. money, will be a by product of what
you know and how will you act on what you know.
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To evolve beyond pain and our fear of mistakes, our mistakes have to be
resolved. Build a corollary frame work from all your trading experience.
All experiences are valid and have meaning, and as such, mistakes
don't exists - they just point the way!!!
-
"Missed Opportunities" - don't exist - its just in your mind !! Its possible
to miss anything ! Missed opportunities are trades that would have always
turned out perfectly because they only occurred in our minds, where we can
make anything be as we want it to be. Of course, we would have responded
exactly as the conflictions warranted without a flaw. The problem is we didn't
do it, and the resulting sense of loss we feel is difficult to reconcile.
Therefore, these missed opportunity trades have the potential to cause more
anxiety and stress than the trades we actually do take that turn out to be
losers.
-
Nothing's worse than missing a "perfect" opportunity. However, if you could
have, you would have; its that simple. The sooner you accept this, the
sooner you will be able to take advantage of these missed opportunities
instead of beating yourself up over them. Besides there really isn't
anything you miss because the markets are in perpetual motion and will
continue to be until everyone agrees on value. As long as price keeps
changing, there will always be another opportunity.
-
When you start trading from the perspective that mistakes don't exist, you
will be amazed at the sense of freedom you will feel to grow by accepting
your results as a reflection of who you are in that moment, which then
allows you to determine what you need to learn to do better.
Step II : Dealing With Losses
Rule 1 - predefine what a loss is in every potential trade - i.e.
what market has to look like or do, to tell you that the trade no longer
represent an opportunity, at least not in "your" time frame
(support/resistance lines are helpful in determining that).
Confronting and accepting the inevitability of a loss is a trading
skill.
Two mental components at work to help you acquire these skills.
-
"your understanding" - what it is so essential to confront the
possibility of a loss - if you don't, you generate a fear - and end up
creating the very experience that you are trying to avoid !
-
"your willingness" - to change definitions of what it means to lose.
LOSSES DOES NOT DIMINISH ME AS A PERSON.
The sooner you realize it, the
easier it will be to identify and execute a losing trade. By making that an
automatic function of your trading strategy, you make yourself
psychologically available to take the advantage of next opportunity, even
if that opportunity is in the same direction of the losing trade you just
got out of.
Rule 2 - execute your losing trades immediately upon perception that
they exists.
The next error after letting a loss get out of hand is usually not taking
the next opportunity, which invariably is always a winning trade.
FEAR IS THE ONLY THING WHICH KEEPS US FROM LEARNING ANYTHING NEW.
By predefining and cutting your losses short, you are making yourself
available to learn the best possible way to let your profits grow.
Step III : Becoming An Expert At Just One Market Behavior
In trading - more information is not necessarily better information - it
just creates more confusion.
-
Learn to FOCUS on ONE market behavior.
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Choose one simple trading system that identifies a pattern, preferably one
that is mechanical, instead of mathematical, so that you will be working
with a visual representation of the market behavior. Your objective is to
understand completely every aspect of the system - all the relationships
between the components - and its potential to produce profitable trades. In
the meantime, its important to avoid all other possibilities and
information.
-
Just focus on ONE combination - consequently, you will be letting all other
opportunities go by (remember, there is no such thing as missed
opportunity)
-
Starting small and gradually working into other combinations is a real
exercise in discipline that has couple of important psychological benefits.
-
Building a base of confidence as you learn
-
By passing up opportunities that you are not an expert yet, you will be
releasing yourself from any compelling desire to trade.
-
Plan your development to do least amount of damage to yourself.
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Perception and Execution are separate skills !!!
-
They can and do work in tandem, if there are no mental components blocking
execution.
-
The object of this exercise - to learn how to become healthy and stay
healthy, while you are doing it.
-
just scale back to one or two trading markets
-
Don't expand until you thoroughly understand the market characteristics.
Step IV : Learning How To Execute A Trading System Flawlessly
-
Proper execution of trade - most fundamental component - most difficult to
learn.
-
Trading system define market behavior in limited ways whereas the market
can behave in infinite combinations of ways.
-
Technical trading systems are not designed to be outguessed.
-
With trading, future is not random, unlike gambling.
-
Prices, outcome, opportunities are created by the traders acting on their
beliefs and expectations of the future.
-
Think in terms of probabilities.
Correlate the numbers or the mechanics of your system to the behavior.
-
Employ mental discipline to make flawless execution a habit.
The above exercise will help you in
-
To learn trading discipline.
-
To learn skill of flawless execution.
Step V : Learning to Think In Probabilities
-
Once you've acquired discipline necessary to interact with the trading
environment, you can start to use your reasoning and intuitive powers to
determine what the market is likely to do next.
-
Identify the group that is demonstrating the greatest probability of moving
the market and you will want to trade with that group.
-
Determine the prevailing beliefs expressed in the market and how these
beliefs can affect price movement.
-
It requires a detached objective perspective - you watch and
listen to what the market is telling you INSTEAD of being focused on what
the market is doing to you personally.
-
Let the market define itself and then apply whatever criteria you use to
define an opportunity.
-
Identify your
significant reference point
and place your order on either
side of the point. Then wait for the market to do whatever its going to do.
-
Try putting you orders in the market in advance of whatever your perceive
as having a heighest probability of occurrence based on existing market
condition.
-
By putting in advance orders, you will let the market work for you ! It
will also help to keep you from having an opinion.
-
Learn to observe the market as if you were not in a position - this will
free you to take whatever action is appropriate for the situation instead
of hesitating, hoping, wishing that the market will make you right !!!
-
The market doesn't make you right, you make yourself right.
This approach is to help you stay detached and understand that price
movement is a function of trades acting individually and collectively as a
force expressing their beliefs in future values. The greatest number with
the strongest beliefs will always be right. The easiest way to make money is
to go with the flow. To identify the flow, you need to stand apart and
judge it.
Step IV : Learning to be Objective
Anything can happen in the market
Release yourself from "demand-backed expectations" and make "uncommitted
assessments of the probabilities".
-
You have no commitment to any particular outcome.
-
You just observe what is happening in each moment as an indication of what
will probably happen next.
Here is what objectivity feels like
-
You feel no pressure to do anything
-
You have no feeling of fear
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You feel no sense of rejection
-
There is no right or wrong
-
You recognize that this is what the market is telling me, this is what I
do.
-
You can observe the market from perspective as if you were not in a
position, even when you are.
-
You are not focused on money but on the structure of the market
To stay objective, anticipate as many possibilities as you can, and how
probable each of these possibilities are. Then decide in advance what you
are going to do in each situation. If none of your scenarios is working out
as you anticipated, then get out ! Release yourself from the need to be
right !
Step VII : Learning to Monitor Yourself
You need to start paying attention to what you are thinking about and what
market information you are focused on.
[The End]
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