Eritrean economy bloodied but unbowed by border war
By John Weakliam; Reuters; August 31, 1999
ASMARA, Aug 31 (Reuters) -
Eritrea's economy is bloodied but unbowed after battling with its larger neighbour Ethiopia over disputed border lands for 15 months, deploying heavy weapons and air power at enormous expense.
Before war broke out in May last year Eritrea's annual economic growth was running at around four percent of Gross National Product, but has since slowed dramatically.
Yet the economy of three million people, which was formerly reliant on trade with its landlocked neighbour Ethiopia, remains structurally intact despite the scars, say economists.
Since the war started, over 300,000 men and women have been drafted into Eritrea's army, and the conflict has reportedly killed tens of thousands of soldiers.
Most households have lost breadwinners and the 61,000 people deported from Ethiopia must be fed, while the fighting has displaced around 300,000 villagers.
Foreign reserves halved as arms flooded in. Additional taxes were imposed to pay for the huge army and Ethiopia, with its economy of 60 million people, confidently predicted economic collapse and the downfall of Isayas Afewerki's government in Asmara.
But the Nakfa's official rate has risen from 7.2 to 8.0 against the dollar with the black market rate around the 9.5 mark.
Shops remain well stocked although there are shortages of industrial materials and some factories are operating way below capacity. Serious food shortages have been avoided.
Just as importantly, foreign investors and development partners such as the World Bank and UNIDO express guarded optimism for Eritrea's future.
``The World Bank remains excited about Eritrea's economic prospects. Our programs are moving and we are lining up substantial assistance for post-war recovery,'' World Bank representative Ammanuel Ablo told Reuters in Asmara this week.
American investors have started a shrimp farm and an engineering export project. One deportee from Ethiopia began daily flights of vegetables to Europe in February, just six months after his arrival.
A tomato paste factory is being constructed, while trade with Sudan has boomed with the resumption of ties.
Privatisation and infrastructure programs have also moved ahead. ``In two years the government has privatised 19 out of 39 state firms, this would be remarkable even in conditions of peace,'' one U.N official told Reuters.
``We've lost precious time but that's all,'' a government official added.
One key to Eritrea's economic survival is that it has borrowed little from outside to finance the war, benefitting instead from contributions from members of the diaspora who have brought in over $100 million in zero interest bonds issued by the Bank of Eritrea.
``Borrowings are minimal so the scope for lending is higher. We have tripled Eritrea's loan allocation to $250 million for the next three years'' commented Ablo.
The E.U. and Italian government also recently earmarked generous funds for post war recovery.
U.S. envoys meet Ethiopian leader on peace plan
Reuters; August 30, 1999
ADDIS ABABA, Aug 30 (Reuters) -
Senior U.S. envoys met Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi on Monday to push for the implementation of a peace plan to end a 15-month border between Ethiopia and its northern neighbour Eritrea, diplomats said.
Susan Rice, U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, and former National Security Adviser Anthony Lake hope to revive a stalled peace plan put forward last year by the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), they said.
Tens of thousands of soldiers on both sides have been killed in trench warfare along the border which first broke out in May 1998.
Eritrea has accepted the OAU proposal, which calls for an immediate ceasefire, but its former ally Ethiopia has asked for clarification on some technical details.
Eritrea, a former province of Ethiopia, won independence in 1993 after a long guerrilla struggle. Initially friendly relations between the two nations turned sour over economic issues and a poorly demarcated border.