 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
Copyright (c) B.Achutha 1992 - 2000, Malaysia |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
Predicting the Stock Market Movements |
|
|
|
 |
|
|
Contact info: |
|
|
|
|
|
I have copied this website to my own url at http://www.bachutha.com/mtm and all future updates will be at the new url address. Please go to the new address at: |
|
|
|
|
|
Name: Peter Achutha |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Email: b_achutha@yahoo.com |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
http://www.bachutha.com/mtm |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hot Links: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Every one wants to get rich by trading on the stock market. This is as good a reason as any to develop a product to help them and for us to understand the behaviour of markets. When I started out in 1992 there was no General Theory available so I had to develop, on my own, all the mathematcis behind predicting the stock market movements. Was it a journey of a lifetime! I didn't use Fiabonicci Series or Elliot Wave or other stochasticall methods. I found out that stastistical methods are invalid for two very fundamental reasons. Many investigators are looking at short term trends, trends over a few hours, a few days or a few weeks and are trying Neural Networks and Chaos Theory. I took a different approach and looked at very long term trends and used Probability Theory and Wave Theory for my research.
The General Equation describing all markets is as follows:-
M(z) = W(z) + I(z) + N(z)
(an explanation is give on other pages of this site)
This is my general equation of markets whether they are stock, currency, commodity or consumer markets. I had to develop software, in C++, to generate equations for the movements of each and every stock/share I wanted to predict.
When I began the research no one could explain what a bull run was, in mathematical terms, at least. I have done so on this site. I had to go back to basics and mathematically explained (derived the equations for) inflation and hyperinflation before I could explain what a bull run was. Is zero inflation a product of zero growth?
There are even techniques to show that a company's accounts can be predicted and how to determine whether a company can perform a couple of years into the future. Whether their performance is sustainable or will they close shop in some near or distant future.
During the Asian Currency Crisis of 1998 I predicted the recovery of KLSE and sent it to our PM in August 1998. The said chart is displayed on other pages. My predictions are generally about two years into the future. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
My Links: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Myself |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rubber Recycling |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Robotics Development Platform |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Robot Arm For Sale |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Links: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yahoo! |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jesus |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As this site, on the Mathematical Theory of Markets, hopes to enlighten the reader on why markets behave the way they do, some explanation is given in layman's terms with many graphs and diagrams and some explanation is provided with mathematical descriptions. The scope of this web site is to cover general theory (first generation theory) that can be used to derive the mathematical theory (second generation theory) to predict market movement. |
|
|
|
The topics covered in this web site, if there is sufficient interest:
~ The General Simple Equation of Markets
Derivation of Oscillatory and Inflationary Models.
~ The Distribution of Wealth Model.
~ Inflation, Deflation and why markets crash, how capital controls and
exchange controls work.
~ Probability of Transaction, What is Price?
~ The relationship between Probability Theory and Wave Theory.
~ What is Money?
|
|
|
|
And there are many other ideas to ponder upon and a lot of interesting behaviour patterns have yet to be discovered and explained (eg, shifting of trends). How can these models relate to current economic theory - micro economic & macro-economic theory?
|
|
|
|
This site is not for providing advise on stocks and shares. Let the reader beware that I cannot bear responsibility or be liable for any misunderstanding, miscommunication, misinterpretation, misuse, loss what so ever as this techonology is in it's infancy and as the technology attempts to provide very long range forecast of stock movements it is impossible to take into account future events and perceived opinions of the big market players. Do not use the information provided for investment, speculation or trading. IF YOU AGREE TO THE ABOVE click on "I AGREE" below to view more pages. |
|
|
|
I AGREE |
|
|
|
SEND THIS PAGE ADDRESS
http://www.bachutha.com/mtm
to someone you know |
|
|
|
|
|
