Air Travel Demand
Model for Domestic Air Transportation
I. BACKGROUND
In 1993 The Government of Bangladesh
has decided to open the domestic air transport market for private companies.
Domestic air transport sector is always been a loosing sector and subsidized from Biman's International operation since independent. To
reduce this deficit and achieve a competitive market, Government lastly
decided to start Deregulation especially in domestic sector.
II. PURPOSE
Our study purpose was to analyze the
demand and supply condition in domestic sector and to find the critical factor
that influence the air transport business.
III. DEVELOPMENT OF MODELING
Research was completed in three stage Demand Model; Supply Model for both Private and Public (Biman) Airlines; Preliminary development of "Hub-Spoke" system for South Asian
Region and Dhaka
Airport.
IV. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
For the development of
demand model, we use "City-Pair Model" which first introduced by Adib
Kanafani. For the calculation we applied "Stepwise Multiple Regression Analysis".
Parameter values are estimated for different explanatory variables used in the
model.
V. RESEARCH RESULTS
Till now we have published
several journal papers and attend two conference to present our research output.
First journal published in Bangladesh Engineering Institute Journal and second one is waiting to publish in Transport Research Journal in U.S.A. I have
attended the first conference in Tokyo, Japan held in 17th march 1998 in JSCE
(Japanese Society of Civil Engineering). Last November 1999, we attended our
second conference in Bangkok, Thailand in Civil and Environmental Engineering
Conference organized by AIT (Asian Institute of Technology).
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