Long Range Plan - Detailed
Steps
Name of the product/part to be improved/invented .........................................................................
Who are the customers/users of the part or product.........................................................................
Needs/requirements/goals
and limitations(review the 39 x 39 table) .................................................
Cost..................................................... Volume/Size.....................................................................
Performace.......................................... Maintainability..................................................................
ReliabilitySafety.................................... Weight.............................................................................
How much resources can be committed to solving this problem ?
Money, $ ............................................
Man-days........................................................................
Select
the magnitude of the change to be made.................................................................................
*
Minimal change (recommended for first consideration)
*
Moderate change
* Large change (perhaps a completely new device / equipment)
Evaluation
of the stage of development of the system
Stage 1. Infancy
Specification of parts
All parts are specified and all parts
are working without problems. At least one element is controllable.
Stage 2.
Rapid growth of efficiency/technical parameters
Optimization
At least one part has better performance/capability
than other parts;
other parts should be changed to take
advantage of the "most capable" part.
Mechanical
interactions are replaced by force fields (electromagnetic, optical, etc.)(strong
principle).
Flow of energy through the system becomes
smooth.
Parameters are changing towards zero
weight, volume and area.
Dispersion, number of links and controllability
are increasing.
The frequencies/rhythms of parts are
being harmonized.
Stage 3. Maturity - 1
Dynamization
Elements of the system are changing
to adapt to changing conditions, but feedback is not used yet.
(example: rigid wheel ---> rubber
tire in vehicles)
Stage 4.
Maturity - 2 Self monitoring
Automatic control using feedback
Stage 5. Stagnation; need
for transition to a higher level system
Transition to higher-level system;
transition from macro to micro
Two or more systems are joined to
create a super-system.
Transition from macro (mechanical
parts) to micro particles /molecules /liquids).
Examples/super-system:
joining two
ships gives a catamaran;
joining computers
(networking: LAN -> WAN -> Internet
Examples/macro-to-micro:rollers supporting
hot glass plates replaced by molten tin.
Evolution of parts / subsystems
/ systems
|
Mono-system
|
Bi-system
|
Poly-system (super-system)
|
Poly-system with self control
|
|
|
Single-function system
|
Single-function syst. with adjusting properties
|
Poly-functional system
|
Poly-functional system with self control
|
|
|
Immobile part
|
Part with a joint
|
Part with many joints
|
Elastic system
|
System using force field
|
|
Solid
|
Liquid
|
Gas
|
Force field
|
|
|
Monolithic part
|
Part with a void
|
Part/system with many voids
|
System with miniature voids or pores
|
System with dynamic voids (eg. quick sand)
|
|
Flat shape
|
Bent shape
|
Curved shape (eg. Mobius or hyperbolic)
|
Dynamic or changing shape
|
|
|
Continuous action
|
Use of vibrations
|
Use of resonance
|
Use of standing waves
|
|
Five
levels of inventions
Level
1. Contradiction: remains unsolved.
Discipline:
single field of technology.
Used: devices/methods/substances
intended precisely for the given goal.
Eg. special
thermal insulation to prevent heat loss.
Number of trials:
several.
Level
2. Contradiction: resolved with small change.
Discipline:
single field of technology.
Number of trials:
50 - 70.
Level
3. Contradiction: resolved with a major change.
Discipline:
several technical disciplines.
Number of trials:
100 - 1000. Percentage of patents: about 10%.
Level
4. Contradiction: resolved; the object is totally changed.
Discipline:
another field or "rarely used physical effects"
Number of trials:
1000 - 10000 (100,000); eg. Edison's car battery required about 50,000
trials.
Percentage
of patents: 3 - 4%.
Level 5.
Contradiction: resolved by using a new fundamental effect.
The solution
can change the super-system to which it belongs.
Discipline:
beyond contemporary science (example: discovery of lasers).
Number of trials:100,000
- 1,000,000.
Percentage
of patents: below 1%.