Link to last year's (2001-2002) final ratings Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score is listed on the 2002-2003 Missouri HS Scores page. The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that due to goal differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other. The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings. A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list. The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed). Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely that ranking is to be accurate. * indicates teams with only two game scores used to calculate rating. Links to other ratings: CT IA IL IN MA MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY OH PA-E PA-W1A PA-W2A PA-W3A RI VT WI wWI USA Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1 Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,CBC,MO,____________________________ 17 0 0, 3.5, 7.9, 11.41, 10.49 2,Marquette,MO,______________________ 14 3 0, 2.3, 8.2, 10.50, 11.04 3,Oakville,MO,_______________________ 15 1 1, 3.0, 7.4, 10.41, 8.75 4,DeSmet,MO,_________________________ 12 4 0, 1.4, 8.5, 9.83, 10.31 5,SLUH,MO,___________________________ 10 4 1, 1.4, 8.3, 9.67, 9.15 6,Webster Groves,MO,_________________ 11 3 2, 2.1, 7.5, 9.52, 9.36 7,Chaminade,MO,______________________ 7 6 1, 0.9, 8.5, 9.41, 10.10 8,Rockwood Summit,MO,________________ 11 5 1, 1.1, 8.1, 9.20, 9.63 9,Lafayette,MO,______________________ 11 7 0, 1.1, 8.1, 9.12, 8.59 10,Parkway West,MO,___________________ 9 8 1, 0.4, 8.4, 8.82, 7.93 11,Wentzville,MO,_____________________ 8 7 1, 0.9, 7.8, 8.70, 9.03 12,Francis Howell North,MO,___________ 12 5 0, 1.2, 7.3, 8.54, 8.55 13,Fort Zumwalt South,MO,_____________ 11 4 2, 1.1, 7.5, 8.53, 9.28 14,Parkway South,MO,__________________ 9 8 1, 0.3, 8.0, 8.28, 8.95 15,Duchesne,MO,_______________________ 11 3 3, 1.6, 6.6, 8.20, 7.90 16,Kirkwood,MO,_______________________ 5 6 4, 0.1, 8.0, 8.04, 8.30 17,Parkway Central,MO,________________ 9 9 0, -0.1, 8.0, 7.90, 7.87 18,Francis Howell Central,MO,_________ 9 4 4, 0.7, 7.2, 7.89, 7.55 19,Fox,MO,____________________________ 8 7 3, -0.2, 7.9, 7.78, 7.66 20,McCluer North,MO,__________________ 16 2 0, 2.5, 5.0, 7.52, 6.24 21,Lindbergh,MO,______________________ 7 7 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 7.50 22,Ladue,MO,__________________________ 11 5 0, 1.4, 5.8, 7.14, 6.81 23,Priory,MO,_________________________ 14 3 2, 2.2, 5.0, 7.14, 8.07 24,Lutheran South,MO,_________________ 8 7 1, 0.4, 6.6, 6.98, 6.64 25,Althoff,MO,________________________ 5 12 0, -1.3, 8.3, 6.97, 7.03 26,Vianney,MO,________________________ 4 12 2, -1.6, 8.6, 6.95, 6.72 27,Hazelwood West,MO,_________________ 10 6 1, 0.6, 5.7, 6.34, 7.13 28,St. Charles West,MO,_______________ 9 8 0, 0.2, 6.1, 6.31, 5.96 29,Hazelwood Central,MO,______________ 9 8 1, 0.1, 6.0, 6.10, 5.89 30,Granite City,MO,___________________ 6 9 1, -0.3, 5.9, 5.60, 6.17 31,Fort Zumwalt West,MO,______________ 4 11 1, -1.6, 7.1, 5.49, 5.79 32,MICDS,MO,__________________________ 6 8 3, -0.3, 5.7, 5.41, 5.32 33,Clayton,MO,________________________ 9 8 2, 0.1, 5.3, 5.37, 5.37 34,St. Marys,MO,______________________ 2 12 2, -2.2, 7.3, 5.07, 4.46 35,Whitfield,MO,______________________ 6 9 3, -0.3, 5.4, 5.07, 5.71 36,Francis Howell,MO,_________________ 2 14 1, -2.0, 7.0, 5.05, 5.10 37,Eureka,MO,_________________________ 3 15 0, -2.3, 7.3, 5.01, 5.01 38,Westminster,MO,____________________ 7 9 2, -0.5, 5.5, 5.00, 4.71 39,Parkway North,MO,__________________ 4 14 0, -2.3, 7.2, 4.93, 6.09 40,John Burroughs,MO,_________________ 6 10 0, -1.0, 5.6, 4.56, 4.28 41,Affton,MO,_________________________ 2 12 2, -2.6, 6.9, 4.38, 5.28 42,Fort Zumwalt North,MO,_____________ 2 14 0, -2.6, 6.9, 4.36, 4.53 43,Mehlville,MO,______________________ 3 15 0, -2.8, 7.1, 4.28, 5.09 44,Pattonville,MO,____________________ 0 14 1, -3.4, 6.4, 2.99, 2.44 45,DuBourg,MO,________________________ 0 16 0, -3.6, 5.7, 2.14, 2.62 293 predicted correctly 61 predicted incorrectly Ties 26 Predict Pct 0.82768 The Goal Diff Limit is set at 4
last updated 1-20-03