Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score is listed on the 2002-2003 Connecticut HS Scores page. Please send missing (through the listed date) CT scores to David Ernst for consolidation. Thanks David! The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that due to goal differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other. The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings. A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared from one week to the next or directly to a ratings list for another state). Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely that ranking is to be accurate. * indicates teams with only two game scores used to calculate rating. Links to other ratings: CT IA IL IN MA MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY OH PA-E PA-W1A PA-W2A PA-W3A RI VT WI wWI USA Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1 Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. High School Hockey Forums More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Fairfield Prep,CT,_________________ 12 4 0, 1.4, 8.6, 9.99, 9.25 2,Notre Dame-West Haven,CT,__________ 10 4 0, 1.4, 8.3, 9.66, 9.28 3,Simsbury,CT,_______________________ 14 1 0, 2.7, 6.0, 8.64, 9.08 4,Hamden,CT,_________________________ 9 5 2, 0.8, 7.6, 8.44, 9.75 5,West Haven,CT,_____________________ 11 5 0, 0.9, 7.5, 8.37, 7.94 6,Notre Dame-Fairfield,CT,___________ 12 6 0, 1.4, 6.7, 8.17, 8.05 7,Newington,CT,______________________ 11 3 0, 2.4, 5.7, 8.04, 8.79 8,Fermi,CT,__________________________ 10 3 0, 2.2, 5.3, 7.57, 6.76 9,Immaculate,CT,_____________________ 11 4 0, 1.9, 5.6, 7.49, 9.03 10,Stamford,CT,_______________________ 13 3 0, 2.8, 4.6, 7.44, 6.94 11,Darien,CT,_________________________ 11 4 0, 1.2, 6.1, 7.34, 6.32 12,New Canaan,CT,_____________________ 11 5 1, 1.2, 6.0, 7.27, 6.66 13,East Haven,CT,_____________________ 8 7 1, 0.4, 6.3, 6.69, 8.29 14,Farmington,CT,_____________________ 11 3 1, 1.3, 5.3, 6.64, 6.80 15,Ridgefield,CT,_____________________ 10 6 0, 1.3, 5.3, 6.61, 6.47 16,North Branford,CT,_________________ 11 5 0, 1.6, 4.8, 6.44, 5.46 17,Greenwich,CT,______________________ 7 7 0, 0.3, 6.0, 6.33, 5.00 18,Xavier,CT,_________________________ 13 3 0, 2.0, 4.3, 6.30, 7.28 19,North Haven,CT,____________________ 8 4 0, 0.7, 5.5, 6.14, 6.42 20,Suffield,CT,_______________________ 9 5 0, 0.5, 5.6, 6.05, 7.29 21,Lyman Hall,CT,_____________________ 7 7 0, -0.3, 6.2, 5.96, 5.80 22,East Catholic,CT,__________________ 10 4 1, 1.1, 4.8, 5.96, 5.11 23,Bethel,CT,_________________________ 10 5 0, 1.4, 4.5, 5.93, 7.15 24,Glastonbury,CT,____________________ 9 4 0, 1.4, 4.5, 5.90, 5.71 25,Wethersfield,CT,___________________ 10 6 0, 0.4, 5.5, 5.87, 5.53 26,Branford,CT,_______________________ 9 6 0, 0.5, 5.3, 5.74, 4.92 27,Amity,CT,__________________________ 10 4 0, 1.2, 4.4, 5.65, 6.20 28,Shepaug,CT,________________________ 11 4 0, 0.8, 4.8, 5.56, 5.76 29,Rocky Hill,CT,_____________________ 9 5 1, 1.3, 4.3, 5.54, 5.92 30,Enfield,CT,________________________ 5 7 0, -0.4, 5.7, 5.32, 4.86 31,Trumbull,CT,_______________________ 12 4 1, 1.5, 3.8, 5.31, 4.78 32,Avon/St Paul,CT,___________________ 7 7 0, -0.1, 5.4, 5.30, 5.00 33,Rockville,CT,______________________ 9 6 1, 0.4, 4.8, 5.15, 5.12 34,Cheshire,CT,_______________________ 5 11 0, -1.3, 6.2, 4.92, 4.42 35,Milford,CT,________________________ 5 11 0, -1.1, 5.9, 4.87, 4.30 36,EO Smith,CT,_______________________ 6 8 1, -0.9, 5.7, 4.86, 5.12 37,Watertown,CT,______________________ 9 6 0, 0.8, 3.9, 4.72, 5.08 38,Guilford,CT,_______________________ 4 12 0, -1.9, 6.5, 4.64, 4.12 39,Wilton,CT,_________________________ 7 7 1, -0.5, 4.9, 4.42, 5.21 40,New Milford,CT,____________________ 9 7 0, 0.3, 4.1, 4.37, 4.17 41,Westhill,CT,_______________________ 5 10 1, -0.7, 5.0, 4.28, 4.67 42,St Bernard,CT,_____________________ 4 12 0, -1.2, 5.4, 4.20, 4.39 43,Masuk,CT,__________________________ 9 6 0, 0.4, 3.7, 4.13, 4.22 44,Sheehan,CT,________________________ 5 10 0, -1.2, 5.3, 4.08, 3.14 45,Trinity Catholic,CT,_______________ 3 13 2, -1.5, 5.5, 4.02, 4.34 46,New Fairfield,CT,__________________ 5 10 1, -0.3, 4.2, 3.94, 3.41 47,Newtown,CT,________________________ 8 6 1, 0.2, 3.7, 3.90, 3.27 48,South Windsor,CT,__________________ 3 11 0, -1.5, 5.0, 3.50, 4.11 49,Hall,CT,___________________________ 5 9 0, -0.9, 4.2, 3.38, 4.32 50,Tri-Town,CT,_______________________ 5 9 1, -0.8, 4.2, 3.36, 4.07 51,Manchester,CT,_____________________ 3 10 0, -1.5, 4.7, 3.28, 2.00 52,Conard,CT,_________________________ 1 12 0, -3.1, 6.3, 3.19, 3.74 53,Staples,CT,________________________ 4 9 1, -1.2, 4.4, 3.18, 4.33 54,Hand,CT,___________________________ 1 11 0, -2.2, 5.0, 2.80, 2.39 55,NFA,CT,____________________________ 6 8 0, -0.9, 3.6, 2.69, 2.51 56,Northwest Catholic,CT,_____________ 2 13 0, -2.3, 4.9, 2.57, 1.51 57,Housatonic,CT,_____________________ 1 13 0, -2.6, 4.3, 1.70, 2.61 58,Fairfield,CT,______________________ 4 13 0, -2.5, 4.2, 1.63, 1.83 59,Windsor,CT,________________________ 2 11 0, -2.4, 3.9, 1.56, 1.96 60,Norwalk/McMahon,CT,________________ 1 16 0, -3.1, 4.5, 1.41, 1.74 61,East Lyme,CT,______________________ 0 11 0, -3.4, 4.3, 0.89, 0.21 62,Barlow,CT,_________________________ 0 15 0, -3.4, 4.1, 0.69, 0.27
last updated 2-11-03