Western Pennsylvania HS Scores -these scores are what the ratings are based upon. New scores and ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. MESSAGE BOARD - Discuss United States High School Hockey Links to other ratings: CT IA IL IN MA MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY OH PA-E PA-W1A PA-W2A PA-W3A RI VT WI wWI USA Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1 Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared from one week to the next or between different ratings lists). A teams listed W-L-T record reflects only those games that have been reported and are in the scores database. Apologies in advance for not being able to accept scores that are not reported in the proper format as described above. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . * in place of rank indicates only two game scores used to calculate team rating. --- indicates teams with only one game sscores used to calculate rating. It should go without saying that ratings based on only 1 or 2 game scores are likely far less accurate than those based on more scores. RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Meadville,_________________________ 12 1 1, 2.4, 6.4, 8.84 2,Cathedral Prep,____________________ 12 1 0, 3.2, 5.6, 8.84 3,Bethel Park,_______________________ 13 1 2, 2.3, 6.3, 8.56 4,Mt. Lebanon,_______________________ 9 4 2, 1.4, 6.3, 7.68 5,Central Catholic,__________________ 11 3 1, 1.8, 5.8, 7.65 6,Franklin Regional,_________________ 9 5 1, 1.1, 6.3, 7.47 7,Gateway,___________________________ 11 4 0, 1.5, 5.8, 7.26 8,Plum,______________________________ 9 6 1, 1.1, 6.1, 7.26 9,Baldwin,___________________________ 9 5 1, 0.7, 6.2, 6.95 10,North Allegheny,___________________ 7 7 1, 0.4, 6.5, 6.94 11,McDowell,__________________________ 9 5 1, 1.3, 5.7, 6.92 12,Upper St. Clair,___________________ 7 7 1, 0.6, 6.2, 6.79 13,Fox Chapel,________________________ 7 7 0, 0.2, 6.0, 6.21 14,North Hills,_______________________ 8 7 0, 0.3, 5.8, 6.05 15,Latrobe,___________________________ 8 6 0, 0.2, 5.7, 5.94 16,Shaler,____________________________ 5 8 0, -0.5, 6.1, 5.64 17,Penn Trafford,_____________________ 6 10 0, -0.8, 5.6, 4.81 18,Penn Hills,________________________ 2 11 1, -2.2, 6.4, 4.17 19,Hempfield,_________________________ 3 12 0, -1.9, 6.0, 4.11 20,Norwin,____________________________ 5 8 1, -1.3, 5.2, 3.93 21,Butler,____________________________ 3 11 0, -2.2, 6.0, 3.74 22,Allderdice,________________________ 2 11 0, -3.2, 6.1, 2.92 23,Connellsville,_____________________ 2 13 0, -2.9, 5.8, 2.84 24,Woodland Hills,____________________ 0 17 0, -3.6, 5.9, 2.28 147 predicted correctly 23 predicted incorrectly Ties 7 Predict Pct 0.86471 The Goal Diff Limit is set at 4
last updated 1-21-03