Earthquake in Turkey...

Allah says in Qur'an in Surat al-Zalzalah (Earthquake): In the name of Allah, the Compassionate, the Merciful. When the earth is shaken to her (utmost) convulsion And the earth throws up her burdens (from within), And man cries (distressed): 'What is the matter with her?'- On that Day will she declare her tidings: For that thy Lord will have given her inspiration On that Day will men proceed in companies sorted out, to be shown the deeds that they (had done). Then shall anyone who has done an atom's weight of good, see it! And anyone who has done an atom's weight of evil, shall see it.

AN EYE-WITNESS REPORT - EARTHQUAKE IN TURKEY

The majestic and Inimitable Qur'an states, "Did the people of the town then feel secure against the coming of Our Punishment by night while they are asleep?" (A'raaf 97) By the grace of Allah Ta'ala and His taufeeq we had the opportunity to practise on the following advice of the Quraan al-Kareem: "So travel in the land and see the consequences of those rejectors." (Quraan).

On the 17th of August 1999 at 3.05 in the morning a devastating earthquake struck several towns in Turkey close to the coast of the Marmara Sea. Since Muslims were not allowed to take relief goods to Turkey unless it was handed over to the Red Cross, we decided to go and assess the situation for ourselves. After arriving in Istanbul, our local Turkish brothers took us to the affected areas. The first town we visited was Adapazari. The shock of the devastating scene of destruction virtually took our breath away. We were unable to express our mixed emotions of astonishment, sorrow and awe at the tremendous manifestation of Allah Ta'ala's might and power.

Solid Structures - Concrete, Rubble and twisted steel

These were the most common sights that we saw: solid five storey concrete buildings that had collapsed as if they were pancakes piled up; buildings that had become a massive pile of concrete rubble and twisted steel; buildings that were torn in half and lay on either side; buildings that had fallen on other buildings and caused a domino effect whereby a row of buildings fell one upon the other; buildings whose supporting pillars beneath collapsed thereby crushing cars parked in the basements; buildings that were still intact but totally abandoned (resulting in an eerie ghost-like atmosphere) due to the fear of aftershocks (some 900 aftershocks were recorded).

People's Reaction

The population of Turkey is 95% Muslim. The people in the affected areas were very pleased to meet Muslims from a foreign country. They welcomed us and appreciated our moral support and Naseeha (advice).

Previously Musjids were averaging half to one row. After the earthquake we were seeing at least four to five rows in some areas while in other areas they were almost full. The elderly men were quite emotional since by nature they are very softhearted and warm people. Some men actually hugged us and cried. Some brothers told us that they had forgotten to make Sajdah to Allah Ta'ala so He made their buildings fall in sajdah!!! People told us how they were harshly awakened from their sleep during the early hours. (Refer to the opening verse above). They were thrown from side to side in total darkness since there was an immediate power failure.

They virtually tumbled, crawled and fell out of these collapsing buildings while the thick dust which resulted from crumbling buildings added to the problems of poor visibility and inability to breathe. Many came out in only their underwear while some were even naked (Allah Ta'ala save us). A brother told us that he rushed out in such panic he totally forgot his two little daughters in the house. Another said he only remembered his paralysed mother in the house two hours later. This reminds one of the verse in the Quraan Kareem:
"On that Day (Qiyaamah) shall a man flee from his own brother, and from his mother and father, and from his wife and children. Every man,that Day, will be in such a state that will make him unmindful of others."(Abasa 34-37).

A building contractor told us personally that he was involved in laying the foundation of the El-Mas (Diamond) Hotel. Just the foundation of this five-star hotel had 350 tons of concrete and steel. He said that if Allah Ta'ala could destroy this building, then He (Ta'ala) can destroy anything. This hotel collapsed completely in a pile of rubble and about 300 people were dragged out, of which approximately 80% were in the state of Zina (fornication) - Ma'ath-Allah. Then there was the banker who arrived back from a business trip to search in the remains of his house for his wife. He found her crushed with his best friend in the shameful act of Zina. In this are great lessons for the ummah, since tragically many of the same vices are prevalent in our society.

Ismit-The best help

We went next to Ismit which is an industrial town. Almost 35% of the industries were destroyed in the earthquake. Here we spent two days and we found that conditions were much the same. We managed to visit a few big camps. People told us that they experienced difficulties in acquiring tents. Prices shot up exorbitantly. Many people were forced to use tree branches and plastic sheeting for shelter.

When we saw this we were reminded of the squatters back home. Some of them told us that their homes are still intact but they are too terrified to return to their homes. Yet many owned two or three homes and here they were living like squatters. 45 seconds reduced them to this level. How safe are we? Yet we sacrifice our Aakhirah (Hereafter) to purchase a so-called mansion on interest when in seconds it can be reduced to rubble. Allahu Akbar! We were also fortunate to gain access and visit a big camp which was run by American Missionaries (manned by military guards). These people are given easy access to promote their religion while Muslims are restricted.This camp had very comfortable facilities, nice tents, toilets and feeding tents. Yet when we spoke to some of the young people there, giving them Naseeha (advice) and brotherly moral support, they responded by saying that this visit of ours was the best help anyone had ever given them. Their thirst and zeal for Deen was remarkable.

Istanbul: Panic

We returned briefly to Istanbul and while there, we experienced a brief tremor which lasted less than 10 seconds. We happened to be in a narrow street which had four-storey buildings on either side. The street was crowded with pedestrians and vehicles. To get out of harm's way of falling buildings was virtually impossible. We came out of the building to find people hurriedly leaving to get out of danger, panic and fear was clearly visible on their faces. Shops closed up and people were busy using cellphones to check on their families. This scene reminded us of Surah Hajj wherein Allah Almighty says, 'Indeed, the violent shaking of the Hour (of Judgment) is a terrible thing. The day you shall see it, every nursing mother will forget her suckling child, and every pregnant being will drop its load, and you shall see mankind as if in a drunken state, yet they will not be drunk, rather it is the punishment of Allah that is severe.' (Surah:22-Ver.1-2) We found out that this tremor measured 5.8 on the Richter scale and 60 people in Ismit died. Ten people died when they jumped out of high buildings. These people were desperate to get out in order to avoid being buried in the buildings.

Golcuk-The Ball of Fire

In the previous towns we heard reports of the naval base in Golcuk that was destroyed. We were anxious to establish this news from the locals in the town. What we discovered was shocking to say the least. The following report was repeatedly verified by the local people while it had been totally concealed in the "free" media:
On the fateful night of 17 August 1999 a big bash (as reported by local caterers present there till midnight) was held at the Turkish Naval Base.It was attended by foreign military advisors (Israeli, British, American and French). Junior officers were being promoted and senior officers were being retired. A junior officer was rebuked for reading the Quraan Kareem and the senior officer threw the Quraan Kareem to the floor(ma'az-Allah). This resulted in a scuffle between them.

Furthermore, anti-Islamic sentiments were expressed at this function. (Keep in mind that on 28 February the military govt. had issued a proclamation banning the wearing of the Amaamah (turban), Hijaab, long Jubba and banned Islaamic education for children under the age of 14. We were shown a few madressa buildings that were closed down by the military govt. They had therefore declared war on Islaam).

Furthermore, the following statements made by the Officials at this function were repeated to us several times by various people: It was reported to us that one of the officers said, "We (NATO in the disguise of the Turkish Military) are now in a position to totally eradicate Islam from Turkey." Another also said, "We are in such a secure and fortified position (in the Golcuk Naval Base) that we are now ready to execute our plans for the rest of Eastern Europe (as has been done with Western Europe under the control of Nato) that nothing can stop us now. He then said mockingly, "Not even Allah can stop us now." We had been told that in the whole of Turkey no place was more strongly fortified than the naval base. It was earthquake-proof and bomb-proof. All the important supplies, equipment, weapons and ammunition were stored there. This is how events that occurred thereafter on that same night were described to us by the local people: "A crying sound first emanated from the earth (as though the earth was crying because of the weight of the sins). Thereafter a terrifying roar was heard from the depths of the earth." One brother said, "The sound was so frightening that it gripped our hearts.We thought it was Qiyaamah (Day of Judgement) and we thought we were finished." A musician also told us that if the sound had lasted for a minute longer,people would have died from the sound alone. The Quraan Kareem declares, "And when our command (of punishment) came, We saved Sh'uaib and those who believed with him because of Mercy from Us, while As-Saihah (the awful sound) seized the wrong-doers so they lay (dead) prostrate in their homes." (Sur.Hud:Ver.94) In Surah al-Haaqqah (Ver.5), Allah Ta'ala says, "As for Thamud, they were destroyed by the Thaagiyah (an awful shout which exceeds all limits of sound)."

Thereafter people noticed the ground becoming hot with steam coming out in some places. Furthermore, they noticed the tide on the coastline of Golcuk (Sea of Marmara) very low until the sea-bed was visible. Suddenly,a massive ball of fire (lava) erupted from the sea-bed into the sky. Some people noticed the sky crimson-red at that time. The ball of fire landed square on the Naval Base! At the same time the earth had become alive causing waves on land as if it was water and buildings were shaken violently for 45 seconds until they came crashing and crumbling down. This was followed up by a massive thirty to forty metre-high wave which crashed on to the Golcuk coastline and went almost half a kilometre inland. (Satellite pictures showing how far the coastline had been eaten up by this tidal wave had been published in the local Turkish newspaper).This wave virtually swallowed the naval base, a casino and a hotel nearby into the sea. This entire incident was not reported in the so-called "free media".

Who is responsible for this cover-up? Was it because Nato and the Turkish military were so embarrassed after their boastful and arrogant statements that they ordered a complete cover-up? This is the consequence of those who behave arrogantly, just as the people of Aad who built homes out of sturdy mountains and said, "Who is greater in strength than Us?" Allah Ta'ala destroyed them with a fierce and icy wind. Furthermore, the Turkish brothers who were our guides told us that they had met an American scuba-diver who was sent down to see if there were any traces of the naval-base. He told them that he went down 100 metres and there was no trace of the naval base. The Unchallenged Quran declares, 'So do you see any remains of them?' (Surah al-Haaqqah;Ver.8), 'Do then those who devise evil plots feel secure that Allah will not sink them into the earth, or that the punishment will not seize them from directions they perceive not?' (Surah an-Nahl Ver.45)

Maskh-Transformation

On the diver's return toward the surface, he noticed at about 62 metres the remains of the casino. What he saw there shocked him. He saw a person in a frozen position with arms wrapped around a tree trunk while holding a bottle of liquor in his hand. He was wide-eyed in terror and his face was transformed into that of a pig! Another person holding cards in his hand had the same wide-eyed expression, but his face had been transformed into that of a monkey! The diver said he will never again go down there. This may sound like a fairy-tale sucked out of wild imagination. But consider this, Allah Ta'ala says,
" ... Those who incurred the curse of Allah and His Wrath those of whom He transformed into monkeys and pigs, those who worshipped false dieties"(Sur.Al-Maidah:Ver.60)

Furthermore, Anas (r.a.) reports that Rasoolullah (s.a.w.) said: 'A group of people from my followers will be transformed during the latter period (end-time) into monkeys and pigs.' They (the Sahabah r.a.) said: 'O Prophet of Allah, even though they will bear witness that you are the Messenger of Allah and that there is none worthy of worship in truth except Allah?' Rasoolullah (s.a.w.) said: 'Yes, they will also perform salaah, keep fast and they will perform Hajj.' 'Then what will be the problem with them, O Prophet of Allah?' they asked. Rasoolullah (s.a.w.) replied: 'They will indulge in musical instruments, dancing girls, drums and they will drink intoxicants. They will spend the night in this condition (intoxicated) and find themselves transformed into monkeys and pigs.' (Fathul-Baari, commentary of Bukhari Shareef).

One young brother in Golcuk on meeting us said: 'We deserved this. We deserved this.' I was stunned at his forthrightness. I asked him: 'Why do you say this?'He replied; 'We lived a comfortable life. Most of us had two or three homes, two or three cars and our pastime was (fornication) zina". In this is a lesson for those who will take heed. The only media confirmation about the naval base was by a Washington-based intelligence magazine called Executive Intelligence Review (EIR News Services, P.O. Box 17390, Washington, D.C., 20041-0390) which comes out weekly at a cost of $10. This article was given to us on our return from Turkey and it is in the September 3 1999 issue. The article on page 26 is headed: Earthquake derails plan for Turkish move into Caucasus. An extract reads as follows: 'Parts of the coastal city of Golcuk literally sank into the Sea of Marmara, crippling Turkey's most important naval base and killing several of its most senior officers.' On page 27 an insert reads, 'Turkey quake shakes Nato strategy.' In this is a lesson for those who will take heed. [By: Abdullah Rafeeq] - Al-Jamiat Volume 4 No. 2 Please forward this to everyone you know. It just may serve as a wake-up call for someone. May Allah forgive us all and make our hearts steadfast on His path, Ameen!(The Light of Islam)

Charlemagne

Ahmet Necdet Sezer, a westward-looking Turk

Nov 16th 2000

From The Economist print edition

WHEN the stubbornly modest Ahmet Necdet Sezer unexpectedly became Turkey’s president six months ago, few Turks knew much about him, and even fewer took him very seriously. Now it looks as if this quietly principled man may play a decisive part in the argument between Turks who believe that their country should strive to join the European Union, and grow more democratic in the process, and those who think that this would require too big a change in the way Kemal Ataturk reckoned, 70-odd years ago, that Turkey ought to be governed.

Last week, sparks flew when the European Commission in Brussels brought out its annual report on the dozen-plus countries which want to join the Union, and once again, in a separate road map, said that Turkey should do more to improve its human-rights record. Most of Turkey’s politicians made duly indignant noises. Its leftish but nationalist prime minister, Bulent Ecevit, accused the EU of trying to “trick” Turkey into accepting the reunification of Cyprus as a prerequisite for joining the EU. Devlet Bahceli, an even more nationalist deputy prime minister, said the EU’s implied demand that all Turks, including Kurdish ones, should be allowed to broadcast and to teach schoolchildren in their own language was “pernicious” and “unacceptable”. True to form, a senior general stepped into the fray, saying “no one should doubt that we strongly embrace EU membership”-but only on conditions acceptable to Turkey.

So far the warmly pro-European President Sezer has held his fire. But if anybody can pull all sorts of Turks-secular-minded Kemalists, generals, businessmen, Kurdish nationalists, Islamists-into making the necessary changes, he is probably the man.

The issue will doubtless come up soon at a meeting of the country’s National Security Council, where generals sit alongside politicians and usually tell them what to do. But Mr Sezer, who chairs the council, may now be in a position to tell the generals that they are not the final arbiters of the country’s destiny. The opinion polls say that, for the first time in Turkey’s 77 years as a republic, the president now wins more trust than the army, which has hitherto always topped the poll.

In many ways, the 59-year-old Mr Sezer is still something of an enigma. He has expressed no grand vision of Turkey’s future. Nobody knows exactly what he thinks about the generals’ role in politics. He speaks no foreign language. He has not yet allowed himself to be interviewed by a journalist. Indeed, it was almost by accident that he became president at all.

The son of a schoolteacher from the western province of Afyon, Mr Sezer had spent his entire career as a lawyer, and thought he had reached the pinnacle of his profession when he was made head of the country’s Constitutional Court in 1998. But then Mr Ecevit failed to persuade parliament to amend the constitution to let the outgoing President Suleyman Demirel stay on for a second seven-year term in office. The main parties could not agree on which of their own top men should have the job. Mr Sezer was the only person just about acceptable to everybody: and so he stepped, largely unknown, up to the presidential throne.

His speech at the opening of parliament last month, however, began to show where he stands. Mr Sezer called on parliament to enact wide-ranging constitutional and democratic reforms and to uphold the supremacy of law. Such changes should be carried out, he explained, “not because the European Union wants them but because these are changes that our people deserve.”

His frequent commendations of secularism will have pleased the top brass, who sat listening to him. Western diplomats were reassured by his commitment both to Turkey’s European vocation and to its alliance with the United States. But for most ordinary Turks it is Mr Sezer’s aversion to pomp, and his manifest probity, that mark him off from many of his predecessors.

Since moving into the “Pink Palace” in Ankara’s posh Cankaya district, Mr Sezer and his schoolteacher wife, Semra, have drastically cut the size of the presidential staff. Protocol has been reduced to a minimum. Mr Sezer has traded in the presidential coat and tails for a simple suit. His motorcade stops at traffic lights. When Selahattin Ozakin, an Ankara teacher, sent him a congratulatory fax in August, he heard Mr Sezer’s voice on the telephone 20 minutes later, ringing to thank him. Now Mr Sezer plans to tour the Anatolian countryside by train, as Ataturk did some 70 years ago. He clearly wants to draw his strength not from the politicians who picked him but from the Turkish nation.

Those who thought the new president would confine himself to merely ceremonial duties have had a shock. Mr Sezer first proved he was no pliant pushover when in August he twice rejected a military-inspired decree, forwarded by Mr Ecevit, which would have enabled the government to sack thousands of civil servants deemed to be overly pious Muslims or too sympathetic to the restless Kurds. The generals are said to have been fuming ever since.

They will have been further irked by the presence of pro-Islamist journalists, for the first time in three years, at the annual Republic Day reception held by the president on October 29th. The prime minister has gone so far as to accuse Mr Sezer of hindering the government’s campaign against militant Islamists. All this has made the president popular with religious politicians and the pro-Islamist press. Yet they should remember that it was Mr Sezer who signed the Constitutional Court’s decision in 1998 that led to the banning of Turkey’s largest pro-Islamic party.

Mr Ecevit is now threatening to push for legislation that would cut the presidential term from seven years to five. An unconcerned Mr Sezer says he is in favour of a modest presidency. He may lack the worldliness and the wiles of his predecessor, Mr Demirel, and the charisma of the late President Turgut Ozal. But he has six more years to make himself felt. And, so far, he has clearly shown that he is prepared to stand up for democratic values and the rule of law, whether or not the men in uniform like it.

Hundreds protest planned changes to Turkish prisons

November 25, 2000
Web posted at: 9:14 PM EST (0214 GMT)

ISTANBUL, Turkey (AP) -- Hundreds of human rights activists and relatives of inmates marched through Ankara on Saturday to protest government plans to transfer prisoners to newly built prisons with smaller cells.

The prisoners currently occupy large wards, where up to 100 live cramped together, but will be transferred to cells housing one to three inmates, where they fear they will be more vulnerable to abuse by guards. Torture is common in Turkish prisons, human rights groups say.

Authorities, however, say they cannot control the wards, where riots and hostage takings are common. Gangs often run the wards, they charge.

Almost 100 prisoners linked to outlawed leftist groups began a hunger strike last week to protest the transfer plans, their relatives said. Another 800 prisoners launched a rotating hunger strike over a month ago.

In a statement Saturday, Justice Minister Hikmet Sami Turk urged prisoners to end the hunger strike and said that prisoners were being pressured into refusing food by the leadership of their leftist groups.

About 10,000 of Turkey's 69,000 prisoners are linked to political groups, mainly Kurdish, leftist and radical Islamic groups.

Police prevent hundreds from attending pro-

Kurdish party congress, activists say

The Associated Press
11/25/00 3:21 PM

ISTANBUL, Turkey (AP) -- Turkish police on Saturday prevented hundreds of Kurdish activists from traveling to Ankara for a congress of the pro-Kurdish People's Democracy Party, Kurdish activists said.

Turkey does not recognize its 12 million Kurds as a minority and is suspicious of any hint of Kurdish nationalism. HADEP, the Turkish acronym for the People's Democracy Party, wants the Turkish government to lift the country's ban on broadcasting and publications in Kurdish.

HADEP leaders hope tens of thousands of people will attend Sunday's congress to elect a leader. At least 30 buses of activists left Diyarbakir, the largest city of the Kurdish-dominated southeast, to attend the congress.

But at least 35 people were detained near the southeastern town of Semdinli, the party said in a statement. Dozens of cars and buses were stopped in three other provinces and were ordered back to their hometowns, the party said. It added that police raided two local branches of the party in the southern province of Adana, arresting four party officials.

Police officials were not available for comment.

Turkish court hearing on Islamist ban due December 12

November 27, 2000
Web posted at: 2:36 PM EST (1936 GMT)

ANKARA, Turkey (Reuters) -- Turkey's constitutional court will start hearing a case on whether to ban the Islamist Virtue party, the country's main opposition party, on December 12, the deputy chairman of the court said on Monday.

Banning of the Virtue party, if accompanied by expulsion of its deputies from parliament, could raise the prospect of by-elections that may destabilize a delicately balanced coalition government engaged in a rigorous IMF-backed anti-inflation program.

It could also strengthen the hand of European critics who demand broader political freedom if Turkey is to join the European Union.

The state prosecutor argues that the party is merely a continuation of the previously banned Islamist party Welfare and seeks to overthrow Turkey's secular order.

Turkey's powerful military, which has overthrown governments three times since 1960, nudged the country's only Islamist-led government from power in 1997 and mounted a crackdown on political Islam that led to the ban on Welfare the next year.

"The case against the Virtue party will start as of the morning of December 12," the deputy chairman of the court, Hasim Kilic, told Reuters. Last month Kilic said the court aimed to finish the case by the end of the year.

If Virtue is banned, its members are expected to split into traditionalists and a more modern wing that would seek to win mass support in the political center.

If its deputies are expelled from parliament, it would automatically trigger by-elections that could upset the balance of power in Bulent Ecevit's three-party coalition.

Markets fear such a development could ultimately lead to general elections which might disrupt the progress of a $4 billion disinflation package backed by the International Monetary Fund. Turkey is a third of the way through the three-year plan which aims to slash inflation to single digits by the end of 2002 from 44 percent in October.

U.S. ELECTION NEWS IS NO TURKISH DELIGHT

Monday,November 27,2000

By GERSH KUNTZMAN - ISTANBUL.

I LEARNED at least one thing on my winter vacation: You don't want to be away from your country when your country is melting down. But that's been my situation for the past two weeks, struggling to stay seven time zones ahead of all the fast-developing presidential events.

I must say it's been tough to figure out the election when all I've had to go on is hearsay from fellow travelers, much of which is wrong. A dusty dictionary has been no help in translating "butterfly ballot" into Turkish, and the few Internet cafes around are jammed with Turkish boys surfing for porn. Fortunately, every room in Turkey is smoke-filled, so at least I am soaking in some of the atmosphere of the election back home. It's been a difficult two weeks for this news junkie. In Cappodocia - an area in central Turkey where people live in phallus-shaped domes created by wind erosion - I was briefly able to peruse The Associated Press wire, but I lost my Internet connection when the hotel owner wanted to do the laundry. A phallus-shaped dome is actually not such a bad place to consider our current presidency. In my brief time online, though, I was able to ascertain only that Bush was ahead and that virtually every election official in Florida needs a serious makeover. In another city, a Turkish carpet salesman (everyone here really does have an uncle in the carpet business) mocked our banana republic and told me the Turks hated Al Gore because Bill Clinton once publicly uttered a comment about the Turkish genocide of the Armenians. Yeah, come to think of it, that's when I broke with Bill.

Now I'm finally back in Istanbul, and am unhappily devouring CNN International, which is not CNN, but an English-accented version that is trying to wrest the "Most Begrudging Coverage of the USA" award from the BBC. For one thing, 10 times an hour they tell me the weather in N'djamena (the capital of Chad, coincidentally!) yet never tell me if it's cold in New York. Worse, every newscast opens with reports from Kosovo, Jerusalem and Russia, and the latest on the mad-cow scare (it's in Germany now, but is that a surprise, really?) before we finally get a two-minute update about the American presidency. Worst of all, none of the CNN International reporters speaks English with anything remotely resembling an American accent or accepted syntax. Yet they're not foreigners.

When you're trapped in the international media bubble, seemingly complex political realities break down into one simple understanding: America stinks. The French are loving our apparent demise. In their twisted version of Sally Field's "You like me, you really like me" Oscar speech, the French are declaring openly that they hate us, they really hate us. I swear, I picked up Le Monde only for the comics! "The whole body of the hyperpower is infected!" wrote L'Express editor Denis Jeambar, whose newspaper sounds like a little tourist trolley that runs between the Eiffel Tower and Notre Dame and whose own last name sounds like a new nougat candy. And Jacques Attali, a former top French official, generously called our election "a true internal Vietnam," referring, of course, to that famous war that the French started and then left us to finish. The British also openly mocked us, but, I admit, some of their rantings were lost in translation. In the end, only the Germans stuck by us during our count, recount, hand recount and court-ordered recount recount. I sure am comforted to know we are backed by the Germans

Turkey: A Wake-Up Call

Riccardo Barbieri/Serhan Cevik (London)Nov 27, 2000

The sharp rise in interest rates caused by liquidity squeeze. Turkey's macroeconomic and structural reform effort arguably lost momentum between the spring and the recent release of the 2001 budget. Moreover, inflation has declined less, and the current account has widened significantly more than expected by both market participants and the policy authorities. Even so, this week's sharp rise in interest rates seems hardly justifiable on fundamental grounds. Market jitters evidently were largely fuelled by a chain reaction partly related to the ongoing restructuring of the banking system. Faced with cuts in their credit lines, banks that are highly exposed to the Treasury bond market found themselves in need of large amounts of funds. As a result, liquidity in the overnight market dried up and the Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) was forced to intervene in order to prevent an even more dramatic rise in interest rates.

A spike in interest rates is tolerable within the current monetary framework .. As long as it is a temporary phenomenon, even a large increase in interest rates would be entirely acceptable within the monetary framework of the IMF program. Indeed, interest rates are an endogenous variable in the current regime. If liquidity dries up because of balance of payments outflows, then interest rates go up and, according the specie-flow mechanism, this ultimately restores equilibrium in the money market. Likewise, the IMF program does envisage the possibility for the CBT to deviate from this model in order to prevent an excessive increase in interest rates: the CBT can adjust liquidity within the target band on its net domestic assets (NDA) and -- under extreme circumstances -- even deviate from it (with the IMF's tacit consent).

.. as long as it does not trigger a confidence crisis. One reason why this week's spike in interest rates triggered a major sell-off in the bond and equity markets is that the vulnerabilities of the Turkish banking system to the ongoing restructuring and investigations, and to changes in the availability of foreign credit, are difficult to assess with precision. The same holds for the supposed panic selling related to the government's crackdown on corruption and tax evasion. But, it seems there is another, more fundamental reason. In a disinflation program based on a crawling peg exchange rate regime, a currency crisis can just be triggered by changes in expectations. Given the critical role they play in the public finances and in the stability of the banking system, if interest rates rise on a sustained basis, they can set in motion a self-enforcing confidence crisis ultimately forcing the authorities to abandon the quasi-fixed currency regime.

Support from IMF/World Bank is likely … Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit and top economic bureaucrats this week tried to cool down the markets. In a joint statement, the CBT, the Turkish Treasury, and the Banking Supervisory and Regulatory Board (BSRB) argued that the turmoil in the financial markets has been simply due to unsubstantiated rumours about the state of the banking system and that there will be no deviation from the IMF-supported economic stabilisation programme. In the meantime, the Treasury asked the World Bank and the IMF to receive loans as early as possible in order to manage the liquidity situation more effectively. Turkey is set to get approximately a total of US$1.5 billion from the World Bank and the IMF. In addition, the Japanese government is expected to loan US$750 million in December for the banking reform, while the Treasury is to receive US$455 million from a yen-denominated bond issuance.

... in view also of progress on banking reform. The increase emphasis on the part of the government on banking reform and anti-corruption investigations is welcome news for the international organisations, which have been long advocating these structural steps. In addition, the capital outflow of the past few days has most probably reduced the net FX position of Turkish banks -- by perhaps as much as US$ 2 billion, according to our estimates. As a result, we expect the IMF to be very supportive of Turkey's efforts from a verbal point of view and, if needed, to consider providing further financial resources -- as long as the implementation of the disinflation program remains satisfactory.

However, swift policy action is needed. The CBT has intervened again to provide a substantial amount of liquidity through a five- and a seven-day repo auction. If confidence is gradually restored, banks should re-open credit lines amongst themselves and interest rates should move lower. However, we expect that this process will take quite a while, due also to unfavourable seasonal factors. As a result, interest rates are likely to stay high for an extended period of time. The Turkish authorities will be thus walking on a tightrope. This would mean that the government needs to accelerate the reform process in order to re-establish confidence in the marketplace. Next week's third Letter of Intent to the IMF should be extremely important in this respect. But, actions speak louder than words. Over the next few months any major policy blunders or procrastination would raise the spectre of a full-blown confidence crisis.

Important Disclosure Information at the end of this Forum

Tuesday, 28 November, 2000, 00:27 GMT

Turkish prisoners on hunger strike weakening

Human rights groups in Turkey say the condition of some prisoners on hunger strike in Turkish jails is growing increasingly serious.

The groups say that some of the prisonrers are suffering from loss of vision and memory.

More then eight hundred prisoners are taking part in the hunger strike to protest against plans to transfer them from large dormitory wards to small cells in new maximum security prisons.

The hunger strike in the prison system has now lasted for nearly forty days, although most of the prisoners involved are on a rotating protest, taking no food for a set period before being replaced on hunger strike by other inmates.

However some prisoners are refusing all forms of sustenance and are growing weak. The prisoners are all from radical left wing groups which have fought against the state.

From the newsroom of the BBC World

Thousands of Turks protest over IMF plan

Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit: Grappling with IMF anti-inflation measures
December 1, 2000
Web posted at: 9:53 AM EST (1453 GMT)

ANKARA, Turkey -- Thousands of Turks have walked out on strike in Ankara against unemployment, low wages and social security cuts.

Banners and slogans attacked the government but much anger was also directed against the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and its anti-inflation plan.

"IMF Get Out. This country is ours!" said one slogan on posters pinned to the chests of many protesters.

Police backed by armoured cars stood by as the demonstrators filed into the central Kizilay district, chanting protests while Turkish pop music blared over loudspeakers.

The demonstration caused some minor problems in a few hospitals and schools but failed to cripple public transport and other services, as organisers had hoped for.

The protest came as the government continues to grapple with a financial crisis that threatens to scupper hopes of curbing double digit inflation.

The IMF said on Thursday it was sending a mission to Ankara at the weekend to discuss an emergency loan. The IMF said the $4 billion dollar loan would only be granted if Turkey cleans up its banking system and establishes a banking watchdog.

The watchdog organisation has now been set up and dozens of senior bank officials have been detained on suspicion of corruption.

The stock market has fallen consistently since last week's detentions.

Illegal protest by civil servants

Thousands took to the streets in protest Most protest speeches addressed the issues of low pay in the health and civil service sectors, as well as fears of rising unemployment if privatisations go ahead.

One protester criticised the IMF's representative for Turkey, Carlo Cottarelli, who has become a familiar figure in the country.

"Yes we're against the government. But Cottarelli's the one who is running this country," he said.

The protest was the first visible public show of discontent since the crisis broke last week with fears over the stability of the country's inflated banking system.

Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit's delicately-balanced left-right government is pressing an IMF dis-inflation plan that views privatisation and strict control on public sector pay increases as a central issue.

Trade unions fear privatisation could help push unemployment well above the present 14 percent. Many state-run enterprises, as well as government agencies, are heavily over-staffed.

Civil servants took part in the protest though their participation in any strike is illegal.

The IMF aims to bring inflation down to single digits by the end of 2002, against an October annual level of 44 percent. But government officials accept this year's targets are not likely to be met until early next year.

12/01 00:01
Turkey's Foreign Exchange Regime Is at Risk

By David DeRosa

New Canaan, Connecticut, Dec. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Turkey is under the gun, financially speaking. There is a genuine probability that its pseudo-fixed exchange rate regime for the lira may disintegrate.

So what else is new? Another fixed exchange-rate regime is on the rocks. Doesn't it always come down to this? Fix an exchange rate and sooner or later your world will slip into crisis. That is what all of the financial explosions of the 1990s told us loud and clear. From the Exchange Rate Mechanism crises in Europe (1992 and 1993) to Mexico (1994) to Thailand and Indonesia (1997), Russia (1998) and Brazil (1998), we see a pattern that fixed exchange- rate regimes are prone to financial explosions.

The Turks have been allowing their currency to gradually depreciate against a basket of dollars and euros in a controlled fashion under the auspices of an informal currency board. The board has stood ready to buy and sell Turkish lire with its hoard of foreign currency reserves. But the Turkish reserves are dwindling, lira interest rates are soaring, and capital is leaving the country any way it can.

Turkey's last best hope appears to be the International Monetary Fund. Last week, IMF First Deputy Managing Director Stanley Fischer had some nice words for Turkey, especially with respect to that country's progress in reducing the rate of inflation. Fischer did express some concern about a weakening in the external current account balance.

Rescue Me!

But the problems Turkey faces today go well beyond what macroeconomic indicators like inflation and the current account are telling us. Turkey faces a total meltdown in investor confidence. The IMF may very well get a call in the not-too- distant future pleading for emergency assistance for Turkey to preclude a Thailand-style meltdown (circa 1997).

Not too surprisingly, Turkey yesterday announced it would allow foreign investors to achieve a controlling stake in its state telecommunications company, a major concession by the government. This amounts to Turkey putting up a huge billboard advertisement: Come and get rich by making our country work.

If the IMF doesn't act, or if the crisis doesn't fade for other reasons, then expect the Turkish lira to break peg and depreciate precipitously. Turkish bonds will lose most of whatever value they have.

But that is only looking at the bad side. Let's think in terms of a positive scenario. The endgame is that Turkey finds a way to restore confidence in its economy, its government and its central bank. If Turkey can find a way to buy enough time, it might be able to make meaningful reforms.

Now if you think this will be the outcome, meaning survival and reform, then you had better back your truck up to the Turkish bond market. Buy every government obligation you can get your hands on, and under no circumstance do any currency hedging.

The Last Big Bailout?

All of this is coming at an auspicious time. We have at least two countries under stress, Turkey and Argentina, and both are candidates for emergency financial assistance. And the U.S. presidential election is still contested. The new president will be inaugurated on Jan. 20, only 50 days away.

If Republican George W. Bush prevails, the dynamics of the international financial system will be different than if Democrat Al Gore, the current vice president, wins the presidency.

Gore is part and parcel of the Clinton-Rubin-Summers years that represented an alliance between the U.S. government and the IMF for providing billion-dollar bailouts to countries faced with acute financial distress. You may see this continue with Gore as president, but my reading is Bush won't tolerate it. Those of you who fancy the emerging markets might want to take note of this -- the rules of the game may be about to change

Move to curb Islamic radicals puts spotlight on role of Turkish army
By Amberin Zaman in Ankara
Wednesday 13 September 2000

TURKEY'S generals have increased pressure on their politicians to clamp down on Islamic radicalism, prompting fresh debate about the army's role in politics. Huseyin Kivrikoglu, Turkey's habitually taciturn chief of general staff, recently declared that there were "thousands of civil servants chipping away at the very foundations of the [secular] republic," he said at a cocktail party. "When we identify such people within our ranks we immediately expel them. If Turkey's institutions are to function properly the government should do the same." Turkey's generals view themselves as the custodians of the secular legacy laid down by the founder of modern Turkey, Kemal Atatürk. So it came as no surprise when the military forced Turkey's first Islamic prime minister, Necmettin Erbakan, out of office in 1997 amid vague charges that he was seeking to impose religious rule during an erratic year in office. Mr Erbakan, whose Welfare party was banned on similar charges, is likely to go to jail after an appeals court recently upheld a one-year sentence he received last year for "inciting hatred among the public based on religious and racial discrimination" during a speech he made six years ago in the largely Kurdish province of Bingol. Mr Erbakan's crime, among others, was to have suggested that Kurdish school children be allowed to call themselves Kurds. Gen Kivrikoglu's remarks came after Turkey's newly elected president, Ahmet Necdet Sezer, twice refused to sign a military-inspired decree empowering the government to sack government employees deemed to be overly pious or sympathetic to Kurdish separatists. Mr Sezer, formerly chief judge at the Constitutional Court, said the decree violated the supremacy of law. A recent opinion poll showed that 80 per cent of the Turkish public approved of the president's decision despite claims by the military that Islamic radicalism was the "number one threat" to the republic. A senior Western diplomat said: "Clearly, the army needs to exaggerate such threats in order to justify its continuing role [in politics]." But that role is coming under increasing scrutiny as the European Union finalises a long list of conditions Turkey needs to meet before it can begin full membership talks for which it was declared a candidate at an EU summit in Helsinki last year. One condition laid down in the "Accession Partnership", which will be presented to the Turkish government on Nov 8, is that the military keeps out of politics. Another is that Turkey grant greater cultural and political rights to its estimated 12 million Kurds.

Generals head for showdown in Turkey
By Amberin Zaman in Ankara
Thursday, 5 June 1997

TURKEY'S secular armed forces are heading for a showdown with their first Islamist Prime Minister, Necmettin Erbakan, who is defying pressure to go.

On television on Tuesday, with a small white lamb in his arms, Mr Erbakan said: "This is the symbol of Turkish democracy. We shall feed it. We shall protect it." In calling for a general election, Mr Erbakan drove home the point that it was up to the people, not the military, to decide whether his Islamist Welfare Party should remain in power.

Opinion polls indicate that the Islamists would fare better than the 21 per cent that they scored in the 1995 elections, which made them, narrowly, the leading party. Since coming to power in a coalition with Tansu Ciller, the Deputy Prime Minister and leader of the conservative True Path Party, Mr Erbakan has faced unrelenting opposition from the media, unions, industry and, above all, the generals.

Firmly wedded to the pro-Western policies laid down by Kemal Ataturk, the founder of the modern republic, Turkey's secular establishment is worried that Mr Erbakan is out to transform Turkey into an Islamic state - a fear shared by Turkey's Nato allies. Mr Erbakan has not helped matters with overtures to Iran , a campaign to lift bans on Islamic-style clothing in state institutions and his party's virulently anti-secular statements. These include open calls to wage a holy war against the Kemalists.

Secular opposition to the government has left the coalition virtually paralysed . Economic reforms, including privatising debt-ridden state companies and cutting inflation, have been shelved. Human rights abuses, jeopardising Turkey's chances for EU membership, have increased.

The generals have filled the power vacuum. They did not even bother to brief Mr Erbakan before launching their campaign against rebels of the Kurdistan Workers' Party in Iraq . Yet the military insists that it will not willingly intervene, as it views EU membership as crucial to fighting Islamic radicalism.

The generals are well aware of the danger of confronting Mr Erbakan and his Islamist followers. According to intelligence sources, mosques have become arms caches for militants. So the generals' strategy to dislodge the Islamists has centred on pressing Mrs Ciller and her party to form a government with the secular parties, but the bitter personal differences between her and Mesut Yilmaz, the leader of the main opposition centre-Right Motherland Party, stand in the way. How the secularists can rid themselves of the Islamists without compromising Turkey's fragile democracy remains unresolved

Muslims threaten legacy of Ataturk
By Amberin Zaman in Ankara
Sunday 29 September 1996

WITH a prime minister whose first foreign ports of call are Iran and Libya, a campaign against dog-owners and an alcohol ban in parts of its capital, Turkey is not the bastion of pro-western values it was.

Refah, the Islamic Welfare party, is subtly changing the flavour of Turkish life after three months as the senior partner in the coalition government. Necmettin Erbakan, the country's first Islamist premier, has been to Iran and will fly to Libya this week - pariah states shunned by Turkey's Nato allies.

More far-reaching for most Turks, however, are shifts in the nation's day-to-day life, with reforms that many fear are gradually undoing Kemal Ataturk's secular revolution of the 1920s. In Turkey's first all-female park, chador-clad women and their children were to be found last week chatting animatedly about the teachings of Mohammed.

"For the first time, we have a place for ourselves," said 18-year-old Zuhal. "No men to bother us, no catcalls, no prying looks. This is the way Allah chose us to live."

A few months ago, opening a segregated park would almost certainly have put Yalcin Beyaz, mayor of the soulless Ankara suburb where it is situated, in court. But Islamist zealots like Beyaz sense that history is now in their favour.

Islamic municipalities and pro-secularists are at odds over dogs, which the Koran considers impure. The radical Islamic daily, Akit, has called for a crackdown on "these vile creatures".

In Sincan, another Ankara surburb, the Refah mayor, Bekir Yildiz, has banned the sale of alcohol in shops and restaurants. "We want Allah's justice and Allah's party to guide us," he said.

Excesses of Islam pose threat to Turks, says President
By Amberin Zaman in Ankara

Friday 28 February 1997

TURKEY'S Islamist Prime Minister, Necmettin Erbakan, and the country's military chiefs are likely to have a tense confrontation today over the government's anti-secular policies.

A meeting of the National Security Council (NSC) convened by the Turkish President, Suleyman Demirel, is to be attended by Tansu Ciller, the Deputy Prime Minister, key cabinet ministers, and Gen Ismail Hakki Karadayi, the Chief of General Staff. The general was expected to report on the threat posed to the secular republic by Muslim radicals.

The meeting follows reports yesterday that Mr Demirel had written to the country's first Islamist Prime Minister about his government's attempts to unravel more than 70 years of secular, pro-Western rule.

The Hurriyet newspaper quoted Mr Demirel as saying: "There is a widespread belief that you are diverting from the secularist, democratic republican aims . . . If you continue with this attitude the regime will be in danger."

The presidential palace yesterday denied the reports carried by most daily newspapers. Mr Erbakan described them as "a lie". But sources close to the President confirmed that the bulk of the warnings in the letter had been made personally to Mr Erbakan by the President in the past week.

They said Mr Demirel was responding to pressure from the military to curb the excesses of Mr Erbakan and his Islamic Welfare Party (Refah), which have alarmed the pro-secular majority. These include moves to allow the wearing in schools and government offices of the Islamic headscarf, banned by Turkey's founder, Kemal Ataturk, as a symbol of backwardness.

Secularist nerves have also been jangled by Mr Erbakan's plans for a mosque in Istanbul near the city's largest Christian church, and to allow civil servants time off for Friday prayers.

Some 400 Refah mayors, who were elected four years ago, have been imposing a more Islamic way of life. Beer, Coca-Cola and gambling have been banned in some Islamist-run towns.

Far more ominous has been the emergence of armed Islamic factions, including Hezbollah and the shadowy Islamic Eastern Raiders Front. Both claim they are fighting for an Islamic state.

During today's NSC meeting, the military was expected to brief the government on moves by Refah militants and sympathisers to arm themselves. Most observers discount the possibility of a military coup at a time when Turkey is campaigning for full European Union membership.

TURKEY'S Islamist Prime Minister, Necmettin Erbakan, and the country's military chiefs are likely to have a tense confrontation today over the government's anti-secular policies.

A meeting of the National Security Council (NSC) convened by the Turkish President, Suleyman Demirel, is to be attended by Tansu Ciller, the Deputy Prime Minister, key cabinet ministers, and Gen Ismail Hakki Karadayi, the Chief of General Staff. The general was expected to report on the threat posed to the secular republic by Muslim radicals.

The meeting follows reports yesterday that Mr Demirel had written to the country's first Islamist Prime Minister about his government's attempts to unravel more than 70 years of secular, pro-Western rule.

The Hurriyet newspaper quoted Mr Demirel as saying: "There is a widespread belief that you are diverting from the secularist, democratic republican aims . . . If you continue with this attitude the regime will be in danger."

The presidential palace yesterday denied the reports carried by most daily newspapers. Mr Erbakan described them as "a lie". But sources close to the President confirmed that the bulk of the warnings in the letter had been made personally to Mr Erbakan by the President in the past week.

They said Mr Demirel was responding to pressure from the military to curb the excesses of Mr Erbakan and his Islamic Welfare Party (Refah), which have alarmed the pro-secular majority. These include moves to allow the wearing in schools and government offices of the Islamic headscarf, banned by Turkey's founder, Kemal Ataturk, as a symbol of backwardness.

Secularist nerves have also been jangled by Mr Erbakan's plans for a mosque in Istanbul near the city's largest Christian church, and to allow civil servants time off for Friday prayers.

Some 400 Refah mayors, who were elected four years ago, have been imposing a more Islamic way of life. Beer, Coca-Cola and gambling have been banned in some Islamist-run towns.

Far more ominous has been the emergence of armed Islamic factions, including Hezbollah and the shadowy Islamic Eastern Raiders Front. Both claim they are fighting for an Islamic state.

During today's NSC meeting, the military was expected to brief the government on moves by Refah militants and sympathisers to arm themselves. Most observers discount the possibility of a military coup at a time when Turkey is campaigning for full European Union membership.

Excesses of Islam pose threat to Turks, says President
By Amberin Zaman in Ankara

Mustafa Kemal ATATURK

Mustafa Kemal Ataturk was born in Salonica in 1881. He is renown as the founder of the Republic of Turkey.

In 1915, he emerged as a military hero at the Dardenelles and later became the leader of the Turkish national liberation struggle in 1919.

In 1923, as the creator of the new Republic of Turkey , Ataturk established a form of government that reflected the wishes of the people.

Sweeping cultural and socio-political reforms took place. Between1926 and 1930, legal changes led the way for religious laws to be abolished and a secular system emerged.

Ataturk initiated a program for economic development in Turkey, which consisted of agricultural expansion, industrial and technological advances.

Determined not to stop there, Ataturk undertook the greatest challenge of all - a reform of the existing language - In 1928, he decided to abolish the Arabic script and incorporated the Latin alphabet.

With this came the impetus to develop the education of the country's citizens. Primary education was declared compulsory and great prominance was given to the education of women.

Mustafa Kemal Ataturk was president for 15 years, until his death in 1938. His achievements are a legacy to the modern state of Turkey and he is considered a pioneer of national liberation.

He was a great defender of the idea of peace at home and in the world. He explained his ideals about the responsibilities of humankind to each other by saying "Humankind is a single body and each nation a part of that body. We must never say 'What does it matter to me if some part of the world is ailing ?' If there is such an illness, we must concern ourselves with it as though we were having that illness."

In 1981, his memory was honoured by by the United Nations and UNESCO on the occasion of the centennial of his birth. He will be always remembered as saying "Unless the life of the nation faces peril, war is a crime. If war were to break out, nations would rush to join their armed forces and national resources.The swiftest and most effective measure is to establish an international organization which would prove to the aggressor that its aggression cannot pay."

He was not only a Turkish leader who led his country's war against aggressors but also a peaceful son of humankind who sent very important messages to the other nations about the necessity of a peaceful and mutually respectful co-existance of all nations on the same planet.

 

Turkish prisoners fast to protest separation

By SUZAN FRASER, Associated Press

SINCAN, Turkey (December 2, 2000 12:32 p.m. EST http://www.nandotimes.com) - The cells in Turkey's new maximum-security prisons are bright and airy. They have private bathrooms, small kitchens, dining tables, upstairs bedrooms and even doors that open out onto courtyards. To Justice Minister Hikmet Sami Turk, the two-story, three-man cells stand comparison to "comfortable hotel rooms."

To inmates, the cells are "coffins." Hundreds of prisoners are now 50 days into a hunger strike to protest their planned transfer from the open wards that Turkey's inmates say offer their only protection - safety in numbers - against torture.

"We don't oppose the luxury, but we oppose the fact that they will leave the prisoners ... to the mercy of wardens," said Kamil Karatas, an advocate with an Ankara-based support group for prisoners' families.

Since Oct. 20, about 800 prisoners in 14 prisons have refused all but sugared and salted water, supplemented with vitamin B tablets, to pressure the government to abandon the new cellblock prisons. In recent days, 138 of them have launched a "death fast" - accepting plain water only.

Still, the administration is adamant in its plans to dismantle Turkey's old prison system, where up to 100 inmates live in each cramped, dormitory-style ward.

The ward system is widely acknowledged to block authorities from maintaining control in the prisons, contributing to frequent hostage-takings and riots. The government says leftist, Islamic and Kurdish groups run their own wards like indoctrination centers, smuggling in cellular phones and even arms.

"Our goal is to put an end to the sovereignty of armed groups in prison," Turk said.

Political prisoners fear the cells will isolate them from their comrades, making them more vulnerable to abuse by authorities. Human rights groups say torture is common in Turkish prisons.

Hunger strikes are a frequent - and sometimes deadly - form of protest in Turkey's prisons. In 1996, 12 inmates starved themselves to death before the government abandoned plans to transfer prisoners to remote jails where they faced solitary confinement.

The latest strike has reached the point where even inmates still on sugared and salted water will start to see their health deteriorate seriously, said Dr. Umit Erkol of the Ankara Physicians Association. Erkol estimated inmates in previously good health could survive at least 60 days on sugar water.

Many of the hunger-strikers already are suffering from headaches, cramps and vomiting, prisoners' relatives say. The government has warned it may force feed inmates whose lives are in greatest jeopardy.

The newly built prison in Sincan, 25 miles west of the capital, Ankara, has 103 three-person cells and 58 one-person cells, equipped with only a toilet, a bed, a table and chair. The one-man cells are designed to house the more violent prisoners.

The Sincan prison is one of six new prisons built at a cost of $4.5 million each. The government hopes to build five more and convert the country's nearly 700 other prisons.

The prisons have gyms and libraries where the government says prisoners will be able to socialize. But rights activists say many will be kept in unrelenting solitary confinement.

"The right to socialize is a prisoner's right, but we fear that they will be deprived of this right as a form of punishment," said Husnu Ondul, who heads the Human Rights Association.

London-based Amnesty International said imprisonment in small groups would have long-term effects on the prisoners' mental and physical health and "may constitute cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment."

The government is trying to draft an amnesty bill that would reduce the prison population and allow authorities to transform existing prisons into the cellblock-style jails.

It is not clear how many of Turkey's 72,000 inmates would be released, but the pardon is certain to exclude about 10,000 political prisoners, such as Kurdish rebels fighting for autonomy in Turkey's southeast.

The three parties in Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit's coalition government cannot agree on who should be released. Widespread public opposition to the amnesty also is making the task more difficult.

Talk of early release has raised expectations among prisoners, who already have rioted at two prisons to demand amnesty.

"The prisons have become like bombs ready to explode," warned Mehmet Bekaroglu, a lawmaker with the pro-Islamic party.

Cash Shortage Pushes Rates Over 1,000% at Turkish Banks
AP, Reuters
Saturday, December 2, 2000
ANKARA

Turkish interest rates climbed above 1,000 percent Friday and the bourse tumbled 8.8 percent as International Monetary Fund officials prepared for talks on fresh loans to alleviate a dramatic cash crunch. .

Central bank interest rates soared to 1,133.52 percent Friday while the interest rate on money borrowed overnight in the money markets more than doubled to 950 percent, surpassing records set during a devaluation crisis in 1994...

Tens of thousands of Turks staged an anti Fund demonstration as banks scrambled for cash after the central bank ceased emergency funding on Thursday in a bid to return to IMF limits to win new aid from the Fund... But despite the economic pain, a top finance official said the central bank must stick to Fund-agreed bank funding limits... "The central bank must remain within the framework of the IMF program," Selcuk Demiralp, undersecretary at the Turkish Treasury, told a parliamentary commission. "Interest rates may rise as it does so."

Bankers say some of Turkey's 80-odd banks can no longer trade with anyone except the central bank, as fears of a bank crisis have rocked confidence and cut lines of credit. .A banking system cleanup and subsequent police probes into some banks in receivership have sparked fears that the instability will spread.

But thousands of Turks blamed the Fund backed anti-inflation plan for unemployment, low wages and social security cuts, walking out on strike and staging a peaceful protests in Ankara and Istanbul. .Banners and slogans attacked the government but much anger was directed against the Fund. "IMF Get Out. This country is ours!" ran the slogan on posters pinned to the chests of many protesters. .Turkey is reportedly seeking an IMF loan of $2 billion to $4 billion to deal with its current crisis under a Supplemental Reserve Facility, provided in short term loans to embattled countries with a cash squeeze.

An IMF spokesman, Thomas Dawson, said the Fund was moving quickly. "This could be presented to the board before the end of the year," he said. .In the past two weeks, investors have pulled $6.2 billion from the economy, analysts said, on concern that the government was not committed to an Fund-backed economic program, including banking reforms, that was aimed at cutting deficits and controlling inflation.

To demonstrate its commitment to the reforms, Turkey said Thursday it would sell 33.5 percent of Turk Telekomunikayson AS, the state-owned telephone monopoly, and cede control to the buyer. .The government also announced a return to funding limits, putting an end to six trading days of emergency funding that violated Fund protocols. .Liquidity crises occur when banks cannot raise money in the money markets or through deposits. They are then willing to pay whatever it costs to get cash. .Noralyn Marshall, an international strategist at Maria Fiorini Ramirez Inc., said there was a danger that Turkey would devalue its currency, the lira. Devaluation, she said, is a "possibility I'm worried about." ."Then the real problems begin," she said. (Reuters, Bloomberg) .

Interest rates for over-the-weekend repurchase agreements between banks in Turkey increased fivefold to 1,700 percent, the highest level since a 1974 banking crisis, as the central bank pulled back cash availability. .Over-the-weekend repos between banks and the central bank were set at 253 percent. The government added 850 trillion Turkish lira ($1.248 billion) to the banking system at the rate.

To Turkey's prisoners, luxury cells offer no haven against torture

By SUZAN FRASER
The Associated Press
12/2/00 12:09 PM

SINCAN, Turkey (AP) -- Cells in Turkey's new maximum-security prisons are bright and airy, featuring private bathrooms, small kitchens, dining tables, upstairs bedrooms and even doors that open out onto courtyards.

To Justice Minister Hikmet Sami Turk, the two-story, three-man cells stand comparison to "comfortable hotel rooms."

To inmates, the cells are "coffins." Hundreds of prisoners are now 50 days into a hunger strike to protest their planned transfer from the open wards that Turkey's inmates say offer their only protection -- safety in numbers -- against torture.

"We don't oppose the luxury, but we oppose the fact that they will leave the prisoners ... to the mercy of wardens," said Kamil Karatas, an advocate with an Ankara-based support group for prisoners' families.

Since Oct. 20, about 800 prisoners in 14 prisons have refused all but sugared and salted water, supplemented with vitamin B tablets, to pressure the government to abandon the new cellblock prisons. In recent days, 138 of them have launched a "death fast" -- accepting plain water only.

Still, the administration is adamant in its plans to dismantle Turkey's old prison system, where up to 100 inmates live in each cramped, dormitory-style ward.

The ward system is widely acknowledged to block authorities from maintaining control in the prisons, contributing to frequent hostage-takings and riots. The government says leftist, Islamic and Kurdish groups run their own wards like indoctrination centers, smuggling in cellular phones and even arms.

"Our goal is to put an end to the sovereignty of armed groups in prison," Turk said.

Political prisoners fear the cells will isolate them from their comrades, making them more vulnerable to abuse by authorities. Human rights groups say torture is common in Turkish prisons.

Hunger strikes are a frequent -- and sometimes deadly -- form of protest in Turkey's prisons. In 1996, 12 inmates starved themselves to death before the government abandoned plans to transfer prisoners to remote jails where they faced solitary confinement.

The latest strike has reached the point where even inmates still on sugared and salted water will start to see their health deteriorate seriously, said Dr. Umit Erkol of the Ankara Physicians Association. Erkol estimated inmates in previously good health could survive at least 60 days on sugar water.

Many of the hunger-strikers already are suffering from headaches, cramps and vomiting, prisoners' relatives say. The government has warned it may force feed inmates whose lives are in greatest jeopardy.

The newly built prison in Sincan, 25 miles west of the capital, Ankara, has 103 three-person cells and 58 one-person cells, equipped with only a toilet, a bed, a table and chair. The one-man cells are designed to house the more violent prisoners.

The Sincan prison is one of six new prisons built at a cost of $4.5 million each. The government hopes to build five more and convert the country's nearly 700 other prisons.

The prisons have gyms and libraries where the government says prisoners will be able to socialize. But rights activists say many will be kept in unrelenting solitary confinement.

"The right to socialize is a prisoner's right, but we fear that they will be deprived of this right as a form of punishment," said Husnu Ondul, who heads the Human Rights Association.

London-based Amnesty International said imprisonment in small groups would have long-term effects on the prisoners' mental and physical health and "may constitute cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment."

The government is trying to draft an amnesty bill that would reduce the prison population and allow authorities to transform existing prisons into the cellblock-style jails.

It is not clear how many of Turkey's 72,000 inmates would be released, but the pardon is certain to exclude about 10,000 political prisoners, such as Kurdish rebels fighting for autonomy in Turkey's southeast.

The three parties in Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit's coalition government cannot agree on who should be released. Widespread public opposition to the amnesty also is making the task more difficult.

Talk of early release has raised expectations among prisoners, who already have rioted at two prisons to demand amnesty.

"The prisons have become like bombs ready to explode," warned Mehmet Bekaroglu, a lawmaker with the pro-Islamic party.