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Understanding War
Lt. Col. Thakur Kuldip S. Ludra (Retd.)
Library of Congress Call No.: U21.2.L83 1992
Since war is an instrument of a nation's policy,
it therefore, becomes obvious to start from there. It is the responsibility
of the government, or the policy makers, to ennunciate the nation's
policy to the military headquarters.
This will enable them to work out the conditions and anticipate
the situations which could lead to war, and if so, the conditions
and situations under which the war would have to be fought.
Policy is, therefore, the realm of the policy
makers and is outside the preview of the armed forces. The latter
are only required to understand the implications of the policy
decisions and plan for the contingencies.
They can and must convey to the nation's policy makers the implications
of the policy decisions.
They can and must convey to the nation's policy makers their advice
on the use of the armed forces. Their view may or may not affect
the policy maker's views depending on their own constraints.
However, it devolves on the policy makers that
they do not spring a surprise on their own armed forces. to that
extent, policy decisions must be taken very deliberately and in
a minimum time frame of 10-20 years, whereby a detailed plan is
required to be worked out, to implement the policy decision, with
the need to employ force being the last resort. This would give
the armed forces enough time to be prepared.
War, as indicated earlier, is an activity involving nations, and
is a continuation of nation;s policy, by violent means.
It aims at protecting a nation's interests and creating conditions
for further promoting these interests, by imposing her will on
the opposing nation.
On analysis, it will be found that interests of nations are, invariably,
spelt out in economic terms. One, as such, cannot but help come
out with the truism that war is, invariably, caused by factors,
which can be traced to economic factors.
In the case of developed economies, having diverted
their resources towards this non productive activity, and having
developed their production lines, they have no other option but
to go into large scale export weapon systems. It, therefore, is
in their economic interests, to create conditions conducive to
creating the increased demand for their weapon systems.
As a matter of fact, when one sees the sequence of events, over
the past 50 years, it strikes one straight away that practically
all the international clashes were instigated by one or the other
industrially developed country. This, obviously, creates demand
for their weapon systems.
One, therefore, finds that it is in the interests of the weapon
producing countries, to create tensions and such other conditions,
where the receiving nations find themselves at loggerheads with
each other, thereby increasing the demand for the weapon systems.
Such conditions, apart from creating demand for their products,
also help, divert scarce resources, from productive activity of
the rival or unfriendly countries.
It is indeed strange that the small western nations, which came
into prominence three or four centuries ago, have devoted greater
attention to war and have produced a number of thinkers, philosophers
and soldiers who have studied, in detail, the various aspects
of war, while India with all its claims to civilization never
understood it.
Let not Bismark's quotation be amended by the
Indians to read as follows:-
"Even fools learn from their own mistakes. But we Indians
are bloody fools, for we do not even learn from our own blunders".
China realized it right from the beginning,
that she would have to clash with India, and has already developed
her infrastructure and prepared for the conflict which she knew
was inevitable. She also selected the point of the actual clash,
the border between India and Tibet.
India, on the other hand, was in the hands of visionary amateurs.
They were advised by military leadership, who not only never grasped
the concepts of policy/grand strategy, but were also never really
meant to get involved at the level of policy making. The result
was that India blundered into a trap blind-folded.
Two divisions, out of a seven divisions army got badly mauled.
By itself, not a very major military disaster. After all, Great
Britain had recovered from a much severe blow in the beginning
of the Second World War. The Indian policy makers and their military
advisers, however, never realised as to what hit them.
The Indian Army has still not recovered from the complexes developed
since 1962. So frightened are the Indian Armed Forces of the Chinese
that they, ostrich like, refuse to consider China as a major threat
and cover up their inadequacies, by their bellicose drumming up
of the Pakistani threat.
As a matter of fact, when we study war and its
history, we find practically all major scientific discoveries
had war-like connotations before they were modified for civilian
use. Whether it was the wheel or the discovery of fire, their
first use was in wars or conflicts.
To be able to develop a proper war machine it was necessary to
be able to produce the item concerned in adequate quantities.
Production of, say, 100 war chariots, 7000 years ago, in Egypt,
must have been a major industrial effort, far surpassing the production
of, say 10,000 tanks by the United States of America in 1991.
Gunpowder and nuclear energy, are two other examples of scientific
discoveries, with war-like implications, later converted to civilian
uses.
It must, however, be reiterated that, unless there is a proper
industrial base to fully use the potential of a discovery, the
nation's war machine will always be at a handicap."
Gunpowder is an excellent case study in this aspect. Even though
gunpowder was discovered in China, before the birth of Christ,
it had to be rediscovered in the West and fully utilised. The
lack of a proper metallurgical industry in China and for that
matter in the rest of Asia, left it to the Europeans to develop
cannons, guns and even muskets.
}India had her first glimpse of cannon, when she was on the receiving
end of the cannonades from Babar's artillery in 1526, at the First
Battle of Panipat. Even subsequently, till the British came, manufacture
of cannon was a highly classified industry with very few who could
manufacture them.
It would also be worthwhile to mention here
that, a victory is only a means to an end and not the end itself.
It is, therefore, imperative that the final agreement should not
only achieve the aims for which the war had to be resorted to,
but also to ensure that war does not have to be fought again to
achieve the same aims or results.
To be able to achieve the nation's aims, it, therefore, becomes
imperative that, the armed forces are in a position to deliver.
With the parameters stipulated earlier, it becomes essential to
have standing professional and preferably volunteer armies. (This
includes the Navy and the Air Force).
To ensure that a nation has an effective war machine, and in the
modern context, with the capability for instant response, it is
a must! There is a need for the following ingredients:
An organisation to lay down clear-cut policy
imperatives and the methodology to achieve the aims.
A single head of the three services.
Well-trained and equipped three services.
Adequate reserves of trained manpower and equipment.
The next step in the chain of command would be an organisation
which would act as a link between the policy makers and the actual
implementers of the policy, in this case - the three services,
i.e., the Army, Navy and the Air Force.
As mentioned earlier, it is better to have a single individual,
who transcends the inter-service rivalries and is above.
A partisan approach to any given problem.
To that extent, the Chief of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee,
as practiced in the United States of America, is a much better
proposition than the Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee in India.
The role of the Chief of Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee would
be, to advise the apex body on military implications of the policy
goals laid down, and the methodology worked out for achieving
these goals. To that extent, he would have to be a member of the
apex council.
Once the policy has been laid down, he will have the responsibility
of working out the methodology, in detail, as to how that policy
is to be implemented, within the broad parameters laid down by
the apex body.
In other words, he would work out the grand strategic stipulations.
In this, he would be helped by his civilian counterpart (The Cabinet
Secretary, in the case of India) along with the chief bureaucratic
executives or the secretaries of the concerned ministries. Along
with them he would also work out the guidelines/limitations for
the implementation of the policy.
Thereafter, as the head of the three services, he would be required
to work out, in detail, the contingency plans along with any alternatives,
to ensure the achievement of the policy.
In between the Cabinet Committee for Parliamentary Affairs and
the Chiefs of Staff Committee is the Committee for Defence Planning.
It is the apex council for integrated defence planning, as well
as, national development. It is also the conduit between the Cabinet
Committee for Parliamentary Affairs and the Chiefs of Staff Committee.
The Cabinet Secretary is the Chairman with the Prime Minister's
Secretary, Defence Secretary, and the Foreign, Finance, Defence
Production Secretaries, as well as, the Secretary of the Planning
Commission as permanent members. This is what Rajesh Rajora has
to say about the functioning of these committees:
Two way communications is usually absent in the above three committees.
Most of the time they are at loggerheads. The bureaucratic body
has occupied a place of extraordinary importance. No proposal,
whether it is the brainchild of the service chiefs or the Minister
(sic) can see the light of day unless it is duly processed by
the bureaucracy. The speed with which it is processed is also
dependent on them, often determined by their own perceptions of
its importance and urgency. This has given rise to the expression
"bureaucratic control" - a situation which the services
resent.
Finally, it would be pertinent to reiterate
that, maintaining an effective war machine is an expensive proposition.
Unless the defence services contribute towards their maintenance,
the nation is going to find it a heavy burden. Most of the Western
developed nations have a strong and a well-developed armament
industry. They use the export of weapon system to generate funds,
including foreign exchange to help finance the nation's economy,
as well as, finance the maintenance of their armed forces, at
the same time help, maintain a satisfactory balance of trade.
A nation is strong only if it is economically
strong. Economic strength is possible only when there is stability.
This requires military strength.
Military strength, on the other hand requires economic strength.
The two are very closely interlinked. The two must be complementary,
one paying for the other.
The western economies have achieved this balance and are in a
position to call the shots in the international foray. The best
examples are the United States of America and France. They are
the biggest producers of armaments and the biggest exporters of
weapons systems.
In the last 20 years, India has never spent
more than 4 percent of its gross domestic product. As a matter
of fact the expenditure has varied between 2.85% and 3.62% of
the gross domestic product.
On the other hand, after 1962, in the next two years, when the
expenditure on defence was raised from 2 per cent to 4.5 per cent
of the gross domestic product, the growth rate went up from the
Hindu rate of growth of less than 3 per cent to a growth rate
of 6.5 per cent (Government of India Economic Survey for 1988-89).
As the expenditure on defence was reduced, having reached the
desired strength of armed forces, the growth rate dropped.
It would be pertinent to highlight that Pakistan's growth rate
has been persistently higher than India and so has been her expenditure
on defence, in terms of percentage of her gross domestic product.
An obvious conclusion that one makes is that in any economy, the
growth rate appears to be directly linked with the expenditure
on defence.
The United States of America, France, all have been spending on
an average more than 4 per cent of their gross domestic product,
on defence and each one has had a growth rate of well above 5-6
percent in real terms, leave alone at current prices.
Empirically, it appears that, between 4.5 per cent to 5 per cent
of the gross domestic product would be the optimum rate for investment
in defence. It would ensure a growth rate of about 6 per cent
or more and at the same time not attract much attention of the
world powers.
So far, the trend in this country has been to
set up public sector undertakings in the backward regions, to
give a fillip to the local region, towards development and general
well-being of the people of that region.
However, from experience in India it has been observed that such
a policy has the following drawbacks.
The region may not be suitable for such an industry,
economically, in that it is invariably neither a source of raw
material, nor is it a market for that industry's produce.
Invariably the requisite infrastructure in the form of power or
electricity, or even for that matter adequate trained matter adequate
trained manpower has to be created from scratch. It has generally
been observed that the complete manpower, especially trained manpower
comes from outside. The locals just get unskilled jobs. Of course,
there is some trickle down effect. The cost, in economic terms
is, however, too high.
The price of the produce from such industries is unreasonably
high.
On the other hand, it has been experienced that by positioning
armed forces units, or installations in such regions similar results
occur. The local population gets increased work, albeit at the
unskilled level. Suitable infrastructure develops in the form
of new retail outlets, schools, and even medical facilities.
In addition, the region is opened up by improved transportation
facilities.
We have had experience of towns like Jammu, Rajouri, even Simla
(after Independence) Ambala Cantonment and Jhansi being economic
gainers by having army units positioned there.
Today, after more than 50 years of their stay, these towns have
developed enough to reach, what in economic terms is called, the
"take-off stage".
Similarly, townships like Binnaguri, Lekhapani, and Misamari have
come up as a result of defence units located there and the region
has developed from near jungle into modern areas with all amenities
available. All this, without additional burden, which an industry,
located in such a region, would become.
In addition, the country, in this case India, would make a considerable
profit by selling all the land in existing cantonments and moving
the armed forces into such backward areas.
The defence forces would be quite happy if they get adequate accommodation
and adequate schooling and education facilities, for their children
and other amenities.
The defence services also help the nation economically, by converting
the revenue account expenditure into savings.
With over 42 lakhs employed in the defence services and defence
linked related industries, in India, their provident fund, group
insurance savings, contribute very handsomely towards the total
national savings effort.
In addition, if the government could set up a pension fund instead
of budgeting for the pension in the revenue account and transfer
an equivalent of 10 per cent of the individual's pay plus dearness
allowance, as most private firms do.
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