Stock Investment |
Market Capitalization = (Shares Outstanding * Current Share
Price) + Current Long-term Debt The PSR is a measurement that companies often consider when making an
acquisition. If you have ever heard of a deal being done based on a
certain "multiple of sales," you have seen the PSR in use. As this is a
perfectly legitimate way for a company to value an acquisition, many
simply expropriate it for the stock market and use it to value a company
as an ongoing concern.
Uses of the PSR
The
price/sales ratio takes the current market capitalization of a company and
divides it by the last 12 months trailing revenues. The market
capitalization is the current market value of a company, arrived at by
multiplying the current share price times the shares outstanding. This is
the current price at which the market is valuing the company. For
instance, if our example company XYZ Corp. has ten million shares
outstanding, priced at $10 a share, then the market capitalization is $100
million.
Some investors are even more conservative and add the
current long-term debt of the company to the total current market value of
its stock to get the market capitalization. The logic here is that if you
were to acquire the company, you would acquire its debt as well,
effectively paying that much more. This avoids comparing PSRs between two
companies where one has taken out enormous debt that it has used to boast
sales and one that has lower sales but has not added any nasty debt
either.
The next step in calculating the
PSR is to add up the revenues from the last four quarters and divide this
number into the market capitalization. Say XYZ Corp. had $200 million in
sales over the last four quarters and currently has no long-term debt. The
PSR would be: (10,000,000 shares * $10/share) + $0 debt
PSR = ----------------------------------------- = 0.5
$200 million revenues
As with the PEG and the YPEG, the
lower the PSR, the better. Ken Fisher, who is most famous for using the
PSR to value stocks, looks for companies with PSRs below 1.0 in order to
find value stocks that the market might currently be overlooking. This is
the most common application of the PSR and is actually a pretty good
indicator of value, according to the work that James O'Shaughnessey has
done with S&P's CompuStat database.
The PSR is also a valuable
tool to use when a company has not made money in the last year. Unless the
corporation is going out of business, the PSR can tell you whether or not
the concern's sales are being valued at a discount to its peers. If XYZ
Corp. lost money in the past year, but has a PSR of 0.50 when many
companies in the same industry have PSRs of 2.0 or higher, you can assume
that, if it can turn itself around and start making money again, it will
have a substantial upside as it increases that PSR to be more in line with
its peers. There are some years during recessions, for example, when none
of the auto companies make money. Does this mean they are all worthless
and there is no way to compare them? Nope, not at all. You just need to
use the PSR instead of the P/E to measure how much you are paying for a
dollar of sales instead of a dollar of earnings.
Another common
use of the PSR is to compare companies in the same line of business with
each other, using the PSR in conjunction with the P/E in order to confirm
value. If a company has a low P/E but a high PSR, it can warn an investor
that there are potentially some one-time gains in the last four quarters
that are pumping up earnings per share. Finally, new companies in hot
industries are often priced based on multiples of revenues and not
multiples of earnings.
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